UFC on Fuel TV: Barao vs. McDonald
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Feb. 16, 2013 |
| Venue: | Wembley Arena |
| City: | London, United Kingdom |
| Broadcast: | Fuel TV |
Renan Barao (-280)
Breakdown
Renan Barao vs. Michael McDonald
The path to victories favors Barao here. I think Barao will dictate the fight no matter how it goes and once he starts to find his timing he will really start to dominate the fight. Barao is the more dynamic striker and all around martial artist so I picking him to win by decision.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Renan Barao | vs. | Michael McDonald |
| -280 | Odds | +220 |
| 73.7% | Market % | 31.3% |
| 70.00% | Bet on Combat % | 30.00% |
| -3.7% | Inefficiency % | -1.3% |
| Renan Barao - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -280 |
| Risk: | $10000.00 |
| To Win: | $3571.43 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Renan Barao defeats Michael McDonald via Submission (arm-triangle choke) at 3:57 of round 4.
Win
Cub Swanson (-110)
Breakdown
Cub Swanson vs. Dustin Poirier
Poirier hasn't looked that great recently. Swanson seems to be coming into his own and looks much improved. I don't think Poirier can survive the intial flurry by Swanson who has legitimate power and can catch Poirier who also has so so defense on the feet. Im taking Swanson by TKO.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Cub Swanson | vs. | Dustin Poirier |
| -110 | Odds | -120 |
| 52.4% | Market % | 54.5% |
| 65.00% | Bet on Combat % | 35.00% |
| +12.6% | Inefficiency % | -19.5% |
| Cub Swanson - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -110 |
| Risk: | $10000.00 |
| To Win: | $9090.91 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Cub Swanson defeats Dustin Poirier via Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27).