UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Diaz

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Dec. 8, 2012
Venue: Key Arena
City: Seattle, Washington
Broadcast: Fox Sport
Parlay Bet

Ben Henderson (-225) Alexander Gustafsson (-280) Rory MacDonald (-335) - (+155)

BJ Penn vs. Rory MacDonald (UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Diaz)
Mauricio Rua vs. Alexander Gustafsson (UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Diaz)
Benson Henderson vs. Nate Diaz (UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Diaz)

Breakdown

Benson Henderson vs. Nate Diaz

Leg kicks and wrestling. That's where it is at for Henderson. I don't see Nate having much of a advantage on the feet at all and I think Henderson will find his way around the Stockton slap. The kicks that Nate is not good at defending at will open up the take down for Benson. I see Benson winning this fight by decision and pushing the pace and controlling Diaz. 

 

Mauricio Rua vs. Alexander Gustafsson

Shogun has been knocked down and hurt badly in 3 out of his 4 last fights in the stand up game. Unless Gustaffson gets careless, I see him picking Shogun apart from range and getting the TKO victory.

 

BJ Penn vs. Rory MacDonald

Penn at welterweight is not the same fighter at lightweight. Penn hasn't performed well at welterweight and vs a skilled MacDonald we don't see how he does in this one. Rory will have a massive size advantage to compliment his wrestling. Rory will out muscle him and out wrestle him to win this fight. Rory by decision.

 

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Ben Henderson (-225) Alexander Gustafsson (-280) Rory MacDonald (-335) - Parlay Bet
Odds:+155
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$7750.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Ben Henderson defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (unanimous) (50–43, 50–45, 50–45).

Alexander Gustafsson defeats Mauricio Rua via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26).

Rory MacDonald defeats B.J. Penn via Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27).

 

Win

Straight Bet

Benson Henderson (-225)

Benson Henderson vs. Nate Diaz

Breakdown

Benson Henderson vs. Nate Diaz

Leg kicks and wrestling. That's where it is at for Henderson. I don't see Nate having much of a advantage on the feet at all and I think Henderson will find his way around the Stockton slap. The kicks that Nate is not good at defending at will open up the take down for Benson. I see Benson winning this fight by decision and pushing the pace and controlling Diaz. 

Stake: 10%

Prediction

Benson Henderson vs. Nate Diaz
-225 Odds +185
69.2% Market % 35.1%
65.00% Bet on Combat % 35.00%
-4.2% Inefficiency % -0.1%
Benson Henderson - Straight Bet
Odds:-225
Risk:$10200.00
To Win:$4533.33
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Benson Henderson defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (unanimous) (50–43, 50–45, 50–45).

 

Win

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