UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Diaz
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Dec. 8, 2012 |
| Venue: | Key Arena |
| City: | Seattle, Washington |
| Broadcast: | Fox Sport |
Ben Henderson (-225) Alexander Gustafsson (-280) Rory MacDonald (-335) - (+155)
Breakdown
Benson Henderson vs. Nate Diaz
Leg kicks and wrestling. That's where it is at for Henderson. I don't see Nate having much of a advantage on the feet at all and I think Henderson will find his way around the Stockton slap. The kicks that Nate is not good at defending at will open up the take down for Benson. I see Benson winning this fight by decision and pushing the pace and controlling Diaz.
Mauricio Rua vs. Alexander Gustafsson
Shogun has been knocked down and hurt badly in 3 out of his 4 last fights in the stand up game. Unless Gustaffson gets careless, I see him picking Shogun apart from range and getting the TKO victory.
BJ Penn vs. Rory MacDonald
Penn at welterweight is not the same fighter at lightweight. Penn hasn't performed well at welterweight and vs a skilled MacDonald we don't see how he does in this one. Rory will have a massive size advantage to compliment his wrestling. Rory will out muscle him and out wrestle him to win this fight. Rory by decision.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Ben Henderson (-225) Alexander Gustafsson (-280) Rory MacDonald (-335) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | +155 |
| Risk: | $5000.00 |
| To Win: | $7750.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Ben Henderson defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (unanimous) (50–43, 50–45, 50–45).
Alexander Gustafsson defeats Mauricio Rua via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26).
Rory MacDonald defeats B.J. Penn via Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27).
Win
Benson Henderson (-225)
Breakdown
Benson Henderson vs. Nate Diaz
Leg kicks and wrestling. That's where it is at for Henderson. I don't see Nate having much of a advantage on the feet at all and I think Henderson will find his way around the Stockton slap. The kicks that Nate is not good at defending at will open up the take down for Benson. I see Benson winning this fight by decision and pushing the pace and controlling Diaz.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Benson Henderson | vs. | Nate Diaz |
| -225 | Odds | +185 |
| 69.2% | Market % | 35.1% |
| 65.00% | Bet on Combat % | 35.00% |
| -4.2% | Inefficiency % | -0.1% |
| Benson Henderson - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -225 |
| Risk: | $10200.00 |
| To Win: | $4533.33 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Benson Henderson defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (unanimous) (50–43, 50–45, 50–45).