UFC on Fox: VanZant vs. Waterson

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Dec. 17, 2016
Venue: Golden 1 Center
City: Sacramento, California, United States
Broadcast:
Straight Bet

Michelle Waterson (+105)

Page VanZant vs. Michelle Waterson

Breakdown

Page Vanzant vs. Michelle Waterson

I truly believe Page Vanzant is overrated. She had few good performances in the past but this fight is going to show how limited her mixed martial arts game is much hyped by the UFC. I also think Michelle Waterson is the strongest of the two and her ground game is underrated.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Page VanZant vs. Michelle Waterson
-115 Odds +105
53.5% Market % 48.8%
60.00% Bet on Combat % 40.00%
+6.5% Inefficiency % -8.8%
Michelle Waterson - Straight Bet
Odds:+105
Risk:$10000.00
To Win:$10500.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Michelle Waterson defeats Page Vanzant via Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) at 3:21 of round 1.

Win

Straight Bet

Mickey Gall (-110)

Sage Northcutt vs. Mickey Gall

Breakdown

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Sage Northcutt vs. Mickey Gall
+120 Odds -110
45.5% Market % 52.4%
40.00% Bet on Combat % 60.00%
-5.5% Inefficiency % +7.6%
Mickey Gall - Straight Bet
Odds:-110
Risk:$10000.00
To Win:$9090.91
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Mickey Gall defeats Sage Northcutt Submission (rear-naked choke) at 1:40 of round 2.

Win

Straight Bet

Eddie Wineland (-160)

Eddie Wineland vs. Takeya Mizugaki

Breakdown

Eddie Wineland vs. Takeya Mizugaki 

Simply put, I'm expecting Wineland to be too much on the feet against Mizugaki. This fight is not going to the distance. 

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Eddie Wineland vs. Takeya Mizugaki
-160 Odds +140
61.5% Market % 41.7%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+13.5% Inefficiency % -16.7%
Eddie Wineland - Straight Bet
Odds:-160
Risk:$11600.00
To Win:$7250.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Eddie Wineland defeats Takeya Mizugaki via TKO (punches) at 3:04 of round 1. 

Win

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