UFC on Fox: VanZant vs. Waterson
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Dec. 17, 2016 |
| Venue: | Golden 1 Center |
| City: | Sacramento, California, United States |
| Broadcast: |
Michelle Waterson (+105)
Breakdown
Paige VanZant vs Michelle Waterson
I honestly think Waterson is just too small for 115. She has had trouble with bigger opponents and VanZant is the bigger and stronger opponent. I don't see Waterson being able to keep it at range and gives up just a little but too much size and strength. VanZant by decision.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Page VanZant | vs. | Michelle Waterson |
| -115 | Odds | +105 |
| 53.5% | Market % | 48.8% |
| 60.00% | Bet on Combat % | 40.00% |
| +6.5% | Inefficiency % | -8.8% |
| Michelle Waterson - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +105 |
| Risk: | $10000.00 |
| To Win: | $10500.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Michelle Waterson defeats Page Vanzant via Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) at 3:21 of round 1.
Win
Mickey Gall (-110)
Breakdown
Sage Northcutt vs Mickey Gall
Gall is the bigger fighter and has a legit ground game which seems to be a glaring weakness for Northcutt, Gall has been training for years at a legit camp and has the tools to get the fight to the ground where he is way better than Northcutt. Gall by submission.
Stake: 7%
Prediction
| Sage Northcutt | vs. | Mickey Gall |
| +120 | Odds | -110 |
| 45.5% | Market % | 52.4% |
| 40.00% | Bet on Combat % | 60.00% |
| -5.5% | Inefficiency % | +7.6% |
| Mickey Gall - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -110 |
| Risk: | $10000.00 |
| To Win: | $9090.91 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Mickey Gall defeats Sage Northcutt Submission (rear-naked choke) at 1:40 of round 2.
Win
Eddie Wineland (-160)
Breakdown
Eddie Wineland vs. Takeya Mizugaki
Wineland has crazy power with his boxing and I am not too sold on the striking defense of Mizugaki which should leave openings to be hit and you can't take too many shots from Wineland and his power. Mizugaki has seem to lose a step as well with speed and athleticism so I think Wineland catches him and finishes him.
Stake: 7%
Prediction
| Eddie Wineland | vs. | Takeya Mizugaki |
| -160 | Odds | +140 |
| 61.5% | Market % | 41.7% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +13.5% | Inefficiency % | -16.7% |
| Eddie Wineland - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -160 |
| Risk: | $11600.00 |
| To Win: | $7250.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Eddie Wineland defeats Takeya Mizugaki via TKO (punches) at 3:04 of round 1.