UFC on Fox: Shevchenko vs. Pena

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Jan. 28, 2017
Venue: Pepsi Center
City: Denver, Colorado, United States
Broadcast:
Prop Bet

Francis Ngannou wins by TKO/KO (-190)

Andrei Arlovski vs. Francis Ngannou

Breakdown

Francis Ngannou vs Andrei Arlovski

For this fight I will be taking Ngannou to win via TKO/KO at -190 odds (bet $190 to win $100) this is your typical young stud vs aging veteran where they try to build the young stud resume by giving him someone with a name he can build off of. Ngannou is one inch taller, has a 6 inch reach advantage, younger, hits hard, and has ground skills. I feel Arlovski has slowed down at this point and his chin is very much in question up to this point. Anything can happen at heavyweight but it's Ngannou time to shine and I feel he will win by devastating fashion and I'll be shocked to see if Arlovski will even make it past the first round. Ngannou wins by TKO/KO in the first round.

Stake: 3%

Prediction

Francis Ngannou wins by TKO/KO - Straight Bet
Odds:-190
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$2631.58
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Francis Ngannou defeats Andrei Arlovski via TKO (punches) at 1:31 of round 1.

Win

Straight Bet

Jorge Masvidal (+140)

Donald Cerrone vs. Jorge Masvidal

Breakdown

Donald Cerrone vs. Jorge Masvidal

I believe Jorge Masvidal's superior striking and footwork is going to be too much for Donald Cerrone. After several slip decisions, I also think Jorge is going to pull the trigger and finish this fight inside the distance.

Stake: 7%

Prediction

Donald Cerrone vs. Jorge Masvidal
-160 Odds +140
61.5% Market % 41.7%
25.00% Bet on Combat % 75.00%
-36.5% Inefficiency % +33.3%
Jorge Masvidal - Straight Bet
Odds:+140
Risk:$10000.00
To Win:$14000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Jorge Masvidal defeats Donald Cerrone via TKO (punches) at 1:00 of round 2.

Win

Straight Bet

Jason Knight (-125)

Alex Caceres vs. Jason Knight

Breakdown

Stake: 7%

Prediction

Alex Caceres vs. Jason Knight
+110 Odds -125
47.6% Market % 55.6%
35.00% Bet on Combat % 65.00%
-12.6% Inefficiency % +9.4%
Jason Knight - Straight Bet
Odds:-125
Risk:$10000.00
To Win:$8000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Jason Knight defeats Alex Caceres via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 4:21 of round 2.

Win

Straight Bet

Marcos Rogerio De Lima (-130)

Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Jeremy Kimball

Breakdown

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Jeremy Kimball
-130 Odds +110
56.5% Market % 47.6%
70.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+13.5% Inefficiency % -22.6%
Marcos Rogerio De Lima - Straight Bet
Odds:-130
Risk:$7000.00
To Win:$5384.62
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Marco Rogerio De Lima defeats Julia Pena via Submission (armbar) at 4:29 of round 2.

 

 

Win

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