UFC on Fox: Maia vs. Condit

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Aug. 27, 2016
Venue: Rogers Arena
City: Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Broadcast: Fox Sport 1
Straight Bet

Anthony Pettis (-189)

Anthony Pettis vs. Charles Oliveira

Breakdown

Anthony Pettis vs Charles Oliveira

I see this fight playing on the feet, where Pettis has a big striking advantage. This definitely isn't a walk in the park for him but I think this is his fight to lose at 145. 

Stake: 3%

Prediction

Anthony Pettis vs. Charles Oliveira
-189 Odds +150
65.4% Market % 40.0%
70.00% Bet on Combat % 30.00%
+4.6% Inefficiency % -10.0%
Anthony Pettis - Straight Bet
Odds:-189
Risk:$3900.00
To Win:$2063.49
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Anthony Pettis defeats Charles Oliveira via Submission (guillotine choke) at 1:49 of round 3.

Win

Straight Bet

Page VanZant   (-195)

Page VanZant vs. Bec Rawlings

Breakdown

Page VanZant vs. Bec Rawlings

Page VanZant is our free play of the night, which mean this is one of our most confident play of the weekend. I expect VanZant to outwork and smoke Rawlings on the feet en route to a decision.

Prediction

Page VanZant vs. Bec Rawlings
-195 Odds +170
66.1% Market % 37.0%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+8.9% Inefficiency % -12.0%
Page VanZant   - Straight Bet
Odds:-195
Risk:$8000.00
To Win:$4102.56
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Page VanZant defeats Bec Rawlings via TKO (flying head kick and punches) at 0:17 of round 2.

Win

Straight Bet

Sam Alvey (-190)

Sam Alvey vs. Kevin Casey

Breakdown

Sam Alvey vs Kevin Casey

I like Sam Alvey in this match-up. his reach and size advantage should be too much for Casey.

Stake: 3%

 

Prediction

Sam Alvey vs. Kevin Casey
-190 Odds +176
65.5% Market % 36.2%
72.00% Bet on Combat % 28.00%
+6.5% Inefficiency % -8.2%
Sam Alvey - Straight Bet
Odds:-190
Risk:$13500.00
To Win:$7105.26
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Sam Alvey defeats Kevin Casey via TKO (punches) at 4:56 of round 2.

Win

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