UFC on Fox: Maia vs. Condit
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Aug. 27, 2016 |
| Venue: | Rogers Arena |
| City: | Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. |
| Broadcast: | Fox Sport 1 |
Anthony Pettis (-189)
Breakdown
Anthony Pettis vs Charles Oliveira
Oliveira doesn't have good range fighting and footwork. He's just not dynamic enough standing to chase Pettis down and be able to control him. Oliveira also approaches in straight lines and keeps his head on a straight line which is a success recipe for Pettis. Pettis by TKO.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Anthony Pettis | vs. | Charles Oliveira |
| -189 | Odds | +150 |
| 65.4% | Market % | 40.0% |
| 70.00% | Bet on Combat % | 30.00% |
| +4.6% | Inefficiency % | -10.0% |
| Anthony Pettis - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -189 |
| Risk: | $3900.00 |
| To Win: | $2063.49 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Anthony Pettis defeats Charles Oliveira via Submission (guillotine choke) at 1:49 of round 3.
Win
Page VanZant (-195)
Breakdown
Page VanZant vs. Bec Rawlings
Rawlings tends to fade in fights and she lets her opponents determine where the fight will go too much. I expect PVZ to be relentless in the clinch and always pushing the pace here. PVZ will out work Rawlings and win a decision. Page VanZant is our free play of the night, which mean this is one of our most confident play of the weekend. I expect VanZant to outwork and smoke Rawlings on the feet en route to a decision.
Stake: 7%
Prediction
| Page VanZant | vs. | Bec Rawlings |
| -195 | Odds | +170 |
| 66.1% | Market % | 37.0% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +8.9% | Inefficiency % | -12.0% |
| Page VanZant - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -195 |
| Risk: | $8000.00 |
| To Win: | $4102.56 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Page VanZant defeats Bec Rawlings via TKO (flying head kick and punches) at 0:17 of round 2.
Win
Sam Alvey (-190)
Breakdown
Sam Alvey vs Kevin Casey
Alvey isn't to easy to take to the ground and in the process will have to fight through the power of Alvey on the feet. This fight will stay standing and Alvey will land bombs to win via TKO.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Sam Alvey | vs. | Kevin Casey |
| -190 | Odds | +176 |
| 65.5% | Market % | 36.2% |
| 72.00% | Bet on Combat % | 28.00% |
| +6.5% | Inefficiency % | -8.2% |
| Sam Alvey - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -190 |
| Risk: | $13500.00 |
| To Win: | $7105.26 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Sam Alvey defeats Kevin Casey via TKO (punches) at 4:56 of round 2.