UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Bader

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Jan. 30, 2016
Venue: Prudential Center
City: Newark, New Jersey, United States
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Anthony Johnson (-269) Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-280) - (-116)

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira (UFC on Fox 18: Johnson vs. Bader)
Anthony Johnson vs. Ryan Bader (UFC on Fox 18: Johnson vs. Bader)

Prediction

Anthony Johnson (-269) Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-280) - Parlay Bet
Odds:-116
Risk:$1160.00
To Win:$1000.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Anthony Johnson defeats Ryan Bader via KO (punches) at 1:26 of round 1.

Carlos Diego Ferreira defeats Olivier Aubin Mercier via Decision (unanimous) (29-28, 29-28, 30-27).

Loss

Straight Bet

Anthony Johnson (-240)

Anthony Johnson vs. Ryan Bader

Breakdown

Anthony Johnson is our most "sure" bet of the night as we parlay him with Olivier Aubin-Mercier. Johnson's power and striking accuracy won't be a good match with Bader. I expect this fight won't go to the distance and we may add a play on the under +125 right now.

Prediction

Anthony Johnson vs. Ryan Bader
-240 Odds +220
70.6% Market % 31.3%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+4.4% Inefficiency % -6.3%
Anthony Johnson - Straight Bet
Odds:-240
Risk:$12000.00
To Win:$5000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Anthony Johnson defeats Ryan Bader via KO (punches) at 1:26 of round 1.

Win

Straight Bet

Sage Northcutt (-250)

Sage Northcutt vs. Andrew Holbrook

Prediction

Sage Northcutt vs. Andrew Holbrook
-290 Odds +260
74.4% Market % 27.8%
70.00% Bet on Combat % 30.00%
-4.4% Inefficiency % +2.2%
Sage Northcutt - Straight Bet
Odds:-250
Risk:$2500.00
To Win:$1000.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Bryan Barberena defeats Sage Northcutt via Submission (arm-triangle choke) at 3:06, round 2.

Loss

Straight Bet

Dustin Ortiz (-210)

Dustin Ortiz vs. Wilson Reis

Breakdown

This is clearly Dustin Ortiz fight to lose. I see him winning a clear unanimous decision.

Prediction

Dustin Ortiz vs. Wilson Reis
-210 Odds +190
67.7% Market % 34.5%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+7.3% Inefficiency % -9.5%
Dustin Ortiz - Straight Bet
Odds:-210
Risk:$2100.00
To Win:$1000.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Wilson Reis defeats Dustin Ortiz via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 30-27).

Loss

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