UFC on Fox: Holm vs. Shevchenko

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: July 23, 2016
Venue: United Center
City: Chicago, Illinois, United States
Broadcast:
Prop Bet

Fight goes the distance (-160)

Holly Holm vs. Valentina Shevchenko

Breakdown

Holly Holm vs. Valentina Shevchenko

I am expecting Holm to beat Shevchenko as we already bet her straight at -160. However, after seeing the line moved so much in the last couple days, I decided to edge our straight bet with a prop 'Fight goes the distance' in the event Holly doesn't show up like we are expecting her to perform. I feel Holm has everything to get back the belt but she seems so nervous at the weigh-in, it make me question her mental preparation.   

Prediction

Fight goes the distance - Straight Bet
Odds:-160
Risk:$3000.00
To Win:$1875.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Valentina Shevchenko defeats Holly Holm via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-46).

 

Win

Straight Bet

Holly Holm (-160)

Holly Holm vs. Valentina Shevchenko

Breakdown

Holly Holm vs. Valentina Shevchenko

After a brutal submission lose to Miesha Tate, I am expecting Holm to come back with a much better game plan this time around. Her ability to keep distance with her jab and leg kicks should be enough to win rounds. As with every play we released, I feel confident enough to bet Holm at this very cheap price but not much more than 1%.

Stake: 1%

Prediction

Holly Holm vs. Valentina Shevchenko
-160 Odds +140
61.5% Market % 41.7%
70.00% Bet on Combat % 30.00%
+8.5% Inefficiency % -11.7%
Holly Holm - Straight Bet
Odds:-160
Risk:$1600.00
To Win:$1000.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Valentina Shevchenko defeats Holly Holm via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-46).

Loss

Straight Bet

Edson Barboza (-190)

Edson Barboza vs. Gilbert Melendez

Breakdown

Edson Barboza vs. Gilbert Melendez

I think we're about to see the best version of Barboza in this fight against Melendez. Don't be surprise to see him KO Gilbert by a flashy technique on the feet.

Prediction

Edson Barboza vs. Gilbert Melendez
-190 Odds +165
65.5% Market % 37.7%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+9.5% Inefficiency % -12.7%
Edson Barboza - Straight Bet
Odds:-190
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$2631.58
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Edson Barboza defeats Gilbert Melendez via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28).

Win

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