UFC Fight Night: Volkan vs. Smith
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Oct. 27, 2018 |
| Venue: | Moncton Events Centre |
| City: | Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada |
| Broadcast: | Fox Sport 1 |
Volkan Oezdemir (-155)
Breakdown
Volkan Oezdemir vs. Anthony Smith
Oezdemir (15-2) is 29 and he’s 3-1 in the UFC. The Swiss won three huge upsets in his first three UFC fights over Jimi Manuwa, Misha Cirkunov and Ovince Saint-Preux before earning a title shot against Daniel Cormier. Oezdemir is simply the better all-around fighter who’s more adept at range fighting.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Volkan Oezdemir | vs. | Anthony Smith |
| -155 | Odds | +138 |
| 60.8% | Market % | 42.0% |
| 70.00% | Bet on Combat % | 29.99% |
| +9.2% | Inefficiency % | -12.01% |
| Volkan Oezdemir - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -155 |
| Risk: | $10000.00 |
| To Win: | $6451.61 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Anthony Smith defeats Volkan Oezdemir via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 4:26 of round 3.
Loss
Misha Cirkunov (-285)
Breakdown
Misha Cirkunov vs. Patrick Cummins
Cirkunov (13-4) is 31 and he’s 4-2 in the UFC. I think the Latvian-Canadian win this fight with a big knockout victory. Cummins (10-5) is 37 and he’s 6-5 in the UFC. The American is a strong wrestler but I just can’t see Cummins’ chin holding up for him here against Cirkunov. I’ll give Cummins credit for taking fights against tough opponents throughout his career, but I don’t think he’s a UFC-level fighter and his record reflects that. Misha Cirkunov by knockout.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Misha Cirkunov | vs. | Patrick Cummins |
| -285 | Odds | +245 |
| 74.0% | Market % | 29.0% |
| 66.00% | Bet on Combat % | 34.00% |
| -8.0% | Inefficiency % | +5.0% |
| Misha Cirkunov - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -285 |
| Risk: | $10000.00 |
| To Win: | $3508.77 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Misha Cirkunov defeats Patrick Cummins via Submission (arm-triangle choke) at 2:40 of round 1.