UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Anders

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Sept. 22, 2018
Venue: Ginasio do Ibirapuera
City: Sao Paulo, Brazil
Broadcast: Fox Sport 1
Straight Bet

Sam Alvey (-290)

Sam Alvey vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira

Breakdown

Sam Alvey vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Alvey (33-10, 1 NC) is 32 and he’s 10-5 in the UFC. Nogueira (22-8) is 42 and he’s 5-5 in the UFC. This fight seems like a very bad style match-up for Lil Nog. I think Nogueira will put on a good fight but considering his age and weak chin I have to fade Nogueira here, likely by stoppage.

Stake: 3%

Prediction

Sam Alvey vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
-290 Odds +240
74.4% Market % 29.4%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+0.6% Inefficiency % -4.4%
Sam Alvey - Straight Bet
Odds:-290
Risk:$10000.00
To Win:$3448.28
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Loss

Straight Bet

Augusto Sakai (-185)

Augusto Sakai vs. Chase Sherman

Breakdown

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Augusto Sakai vs. Chase Sherman
-185 Odds +145
64.9% Market % 40.8%
70.00% Bet on Combat % 30.00%
+5.1% Inefficiency % -10.8%
Augusto Sakai - Straight Bet
Odds:-185
Risk:$15000.00
To Win:$8108.11
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Win

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