UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Anders
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Sept. 22, 2018 |
| Venue: | Ginasio do Ibirapuera |
| City: | Sao Paulo, Brazil |
| Broadcast: | Fox Sport 1 |
Straight Bet
Sam Alvey (-290)
Sam Alvey vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Breakdown
Sam Alvey vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
Alvey (33-10, 1 NC) is 32 and he’s 10-5 in the UFC. Nogueira (22-8) is 42 and he’s 5-5 in the UFC. This fight seems like a very bad style match-up for Lil Nog. I think Nogueira will put on a good fight but considering his age and weak chin I have to fade Nogueira here, likely by stoppage.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Sam Alvey | vs. | Antonio Rogerio Nogueira |
| -290 | Odds | +240 |
| 74.4% | Market % | 29.4% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +0.6% | Inefficiency % | -4.4% |
| Sam Alvey - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -290 |
| Risk: | $10000.00 |
| To Win: | $3448.28 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira defeats Sam Alvey via TKO (punches) at 1:00 of round 2.
Loss
Straight Bet
Augusto Sakai (-185)
Augusto Sakai vs. Chase Sherman
Breakdown
Augusto Sakai vs. Chase Sherman
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Augusto Sakai | vs. | Chase Sherman |
| -185 | Odds | +145 |
| 64.9% | Market % | 40.8% |
| 70.00% | Bet on Combat % | 30.00% |
| +5.1% | Inefficiency % | -10.8% |
| Augusto Sakai - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -185 |
| Risk: | $15000.00 |
| To Win: | $8108.11 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Augusto Sakai defeats Chase Sherman via TKO (punches) at 4:03 of round 3.