UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: April 20, 2019
Venue: Yubileyny Sports Palace
City: Saint Petersburg, Russia
Broadcast: ESPN+
Prop Bet

Fight goes to decision (-227)

Roxanne Modafferi vs. Antonina Shevchenko

Breakdown

Roxanne Modafferi vs. Antonia Shevchenko

I think Shevchenko will be too quick for Modafferi to get takedowns, and Shevchenko is levels ahead of her in the striking game. The only shot Modafferi has of winning on the feet is by landing a haymaker and knocking Antonina out. Or, get a submission. Other than those two outcomes, Antonina will smoke her on the feet. I also think Antonina can work her way back to her feet if she is taken down and the more Modafferi shoots for takedowns the quicker she will gas out. I think this fight mostly end to a decision and I like the prop Fight Goes to a Decision at -227.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Fight goes to decision - Straight Bet
Odds:-227
Risk:$20000.00
To Win:$8810.57
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Roxanne Modafferi defeats Antonina Shevchenko Decision (split) (29-28, 28-29, 29-28). 

Win

Straight Bet

Islam Makhachev (-320)

Islam Makhachev vs. Arman Tsarukyan

Breakdown

Islam Makhachev vs. Arman Tsarukyan

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Islam Makhachev vs. Arman Tsarukyan
-320 Odds +260
76.2% Market % 27.8%
78.00% Bet on Combat % 22.00%
+1.8% Inefficiency % -5.8%
Islam Makhachev - Straight Bet
Odds:-320
Risk:$32000.00
To Win:$10000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Islam Makhachev defeats Arman Tsarukyan via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 29-28).

Win

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