UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Dec. 10, 2015 |
| Venue: | The Chelsea at the Cosmopolitan |
| City: | Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Broadcast: |
Antonio Carlos Junior (-260) Michael Chiesa (-115) - (+158)
Breakdown
Kevin Casey vs Antonio Carlos Junior
Casey is gonna fight a guy who was a heavyweight last year. I totally see Carlos Junior shutting down the grappling of Casey and just over powering him. Casey has bad cardio and it's just hard to see Casey beat a guy who is bigger, a better grappler, and has better cardio. Junior wins via TKO.
Jim Miller vs Michael Chiesa
Chiesa is on his way up and Miller is on the decline. Chiesa is younger and fresher also. I don't see Miller being able to match the pace with Chiesa for 3 rounds and Chiesa will out strike Miller on the feet to win a decision.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Antonio Carlos Junior (-260) Michael Chiesa (-115) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | +158 |
| Risk: | $1000.00 |
| To Win: | $2173.91 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Michael Chiesa defeats Jim Miller via Submission (rear-naked choke) - Round 2, 2:57.
Antonio Carlos Junior vs. Kevin Casey No Contest (eye poke) - Round 1, 1:01. This bet has been ruled as a push because of the No Contest. The bet is a straight at -115.
Win
Aljamain Sterling (-540) Zubaira Tukhugov (-310) - (-175)
Breakdown
Aljamian Sterling vs Johnny Eduardo
Sterling is the younger fighter and is very good everywhere. I think Sterling takes this fight no problem because his wrestling is so high level and his ground game is really good as well. Sterling will win a dominant decision or possibly get a submission.
Phillipe Nover vs Zubaira Tukhugov
Tukhugov has good take down defense so I can't see Nover out wrestling him or grappling him. Tukhugov is way better on the feet and I see him out striking Nover to win a unanimous decision.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Aljamain Sterling (-540) Zubaira Tukhugov (-310) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | -175 |
| Risk: | $2500.00 |
| To Win: | $1428.57 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Aljamain Sterling defeats Johnny Eduardo via Submission (guillotine choke) at 4:18 of round 2.
Zubaira Tukhugov defeats Phillipe Nover via Decision (split) (28-29, 30-27, 30-27).
Win
Rose Namajunas (+160)
Breakdown
Paige VanZant vs Rose Namajunas
Rose is way far along in her game than VanZant. I don't think VanZant has made improvements in her game to beat Rose. Rose will be too tricky and will get a scramble to get the fight on the ground where she has a big edge and will ultimately submit VanZant.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Paige VanZant | vs. | Rose Namajunas |
| -175 | Odds | +160 |
| 63.6% | Market % | 38.5% |
| 30.00% | Bet on Combat % | 70.00% |
| -33.6% | Inefficiency % | +31.5% |
| Rose Namajunas - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +160 |
| Risk: | $12000.00 |
| To Win: | $19200.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Rose Namajunas defeats Paige VanZant via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:25 of round 5.