UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Nov. 17, 2018
Venue: Estadio Mary Teran de Weiss
City: Buenos Aires, Argentina
Broadcast: Fox Sports 1
Straight Bet

Santiago Ponzinibbio (-200)

Neil Magny vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio


Neil Magny vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio

I think Ponzinibbio likely starches Magny early, but I’m not interested in playing him at -320. Instead, I’ll watch the first couple of rounds like a hawk. If I see Ponzinibbio expending a lot of energy and Magny is coping with the pressure, it’s possible we get an incredible line on Neil Magny in-play.

Magny is certainly going to want to grapple in this contest, as he did against Carlos Condit, but I think he’ll struggle (initially at least). However, if Magny can survive the early onslaught – his chances increase exponentially. This is a five round fight and we saw Ponzinibbio tire in round three against Mike Perry. Magny has excellent conditioning and could take over with volume and grappling after the first two rounds.

Stake: 5%


Neil Magny vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio
+170 Odds -200
37.0% Market % 66.7%
30.00% Bet on Combat % 70.00%
-7.0% Inefficiency % +3.3%
Santiago Ponzinibbio - Straight Bet
To Win:$12500.00


Santiago Ponzinibbio defeats Neil Magny via KO (punch) at 2:36 of round 4.


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