Breakdown

Neil Magny vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio

I think Ponzinibbio likely starches Magny early, but I’m not interested in playing him at -320. Instead, I’ll watch the first couple of rounds like a hawk. If I see Ponzinibbio expending a lot of energy and Magny is coping with the pressure, it’s possible we get an incredible line on Neil Magny in-play.

Magny is certainly going to want to grapple in this contest, as he did against Carlos Condit, but I think he’ll struggle (initially at least). However, if Magny can survive the early onslaught – his chances increase exponentially. This is a five round fight and we saw Ponzinibbio tire in round three against Mike Perry. Magny has excellent conditioning and could take over with volume and grappling after the first two rounds.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Outcome:

Win