UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Oct. 1, 2016 |
| Venue: | Moda Center |
| City: | Portland, Oregon, United States |
| Broadcast: |
Will Brooks (-250) Louis Smolka (-350) - (-125)
Breakdown
Louis Smolka vs Branden Moreno
This is a tough fight to take on short notice for Moreno. Moreno doesn't have good take down defense so I think Smolka should be able to get him down and smother him with his top game. Smolka by submission.
Will Brooks vs Alex Oliveira
Oliveira didn't even come close to making weight which is a bad sign and mostly means he could be drained with no energy. The speed, strength, and athleticism of Brooks should take over and he wins by decision.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Will Brooks (-250) Louis Smolka (-350) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | -125 |
| Risk: | $1250.00 |
| To Win: | $1000.00 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Brandon Moreno defeats Louis Smolka via Submission (guillotine choke).
Alex Oliveira defeats Will Brooks via KO (punches) at 3:30 of round 3.
Loss
John Dodson (-110)
Breakdown
John Lineker vs John Dodson
Dodson is too quick for Lineker and Dodson will be able to move in open space so Lineker can't unload his shots. Lineker will out point Dodson on the feet with his speed and win a decision.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| John Lineker | vs. | John Dodson |
| +100 | Odds | -110 |
| 50.0% | Market % | 52.4% |
| 40.00% | Bet on Combat % | 60.00% |
| -10.0% | Inefficiency % | +7.6% |
| John Dodson - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -110 |
| Risk: | $2500.00 |
| To Win: | $2272.73 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
John Lineker defeats John Dodson via Decision (split) (47-48, 48-47, 48-47).