UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs. Thompson
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Feb. 6, 2016 |
| Venue: | MGM Grand Garden Arena |
| City: | Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Broadcast: |
Ovince St-Preux (-344) Mickey Gall (-454) - (-174)
Breakdown
Ovince St Preux vs Rafael Cavalcante
OSP only has trouble vs top level talent but does great vs lower level talent. Cavalcante is lower level talent. The power and unorthodox striking style of OSP will just smash Cavalcante who looks like he shouldn't be in the UFC any more. OSP vis TKO.
Mickey Gall vs Mike Jackson
The UFC wants Gall to win here and I think he does because he's facing a guy who has no take down defense and no ground game who will be facing a legit brown belt in BJJ who is Mickey Gall. Gall will easily get Jackson down and submit him in the first round.
Stake: 3.5%
Prediction
| Ovince St-Preux (-344) Mickey Gall (-454) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | -174 |
| Risk: | $3500.00 |
| To Win: | $2011.49 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Ovince St-Preux defeats Rafael Cavalcante via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 29-28).
Mickey Gall defeats Mike Jackson via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 0:45 of round 1.
Win
Stephen Thompson Inside the Distance (++260)
Breakdown
As I explained in my breakdown of my straight bet on Stephen Thompson, I really like Thompson in this fight. I believe Thompson is going to end this fight inside the distance, probably in round 3 when Johny Hendricks run out of energy after trying to force too much to KO Thompson.
Prediction
| Stephen Thompson Inside the Distance - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | ++260 |
| Risk: | $10000.00 |
| To Win: | $26000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Stephen Thompson defeats Johny Hendricks via TKO (punches) at 3:31 of round 1.
Win
Stephen Thompson (+250)
Breakdown
Stephen Thompson vs Johny Hendricks
Wonderboy has improved his take down defense a lot so I don't see Hendricks being able to take him down that easy. No way can Hendricks strike with Thomson who is a world class striker. Wonderboy should be able to land at range and keep the distance. Eventually Wonderboy out classes him on the feet in finishing fashion. Wonderboy by TKO.
I like Stephen Thompson in this fight. I feel his striking and long reach gonna make the difference against Johny Hendricks. As I stated before, I am not a huge fan of Hendricks's techniques.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Johny Hendricks | vs. | Stephen Thompson |
| -315 | Odds | +250 |
| 75.9% | Market % | 28.6% |
| 30.00% | Bet on Combat % | 70.00% |
| -45.9% | Inefficiency % | +41.4% |
| Stephen Thompson - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +250 |
| Risk: | $3500.00 |
| To Win: | $8750.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Stephen Thompson defeats Johny Hendricks via TKO (punches) at 3:31 of round 1.