UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: March 4, 2017
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
City: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Broadcast:
Straight Bet

Josh Thompson (-110)

Tyron Woodley vs. Josh Thompson

Breakdown

Tyron Woodley vs. Josh Thompson

Here we go again with the highly-anticipated rematch for the welterweight title between Tyron Woodley vs. Josh Thompson. For some of you who were members of our consulting service, you may remember that we had a big bet on Josh Thompson back to their first first in 2016. Woodley sure had more success than I thought he would in the striking exchanges. But on Saturday night, I believe that Thompson will display more his Karate style, and even try to grapple more in the rematch. Once again, I see a lot of value in Thompson to make small adjustments and at his current offering price of -110, I have to take a shot. 

Stake: 3%

Prediction

Tyron Woodley vs. Josh Thompson
-110 Odds -110
52.4% Market % 52.4%
40.00% Bet on Combat % 60.00%
-12.4% Inefficiency % +7.6%
Josh Thompson - Straight Bet
Odds:-110
Risk:$3000.00
To Win:$2727.27
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Tyron Woodley defeats Josh Thompson via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).

I had Thompson winning the fight going to 5th round, but judges decided a different outcome. Even Woodley bettors thought he lost the fight. 48-47 Woodley is a very bad decision. He didn't win 3 rounds. Is there anybody who can tell me which 3 rounds did Tyron win? 

Loss

Straight Bet

Khabib Nurmagomedov (-160)

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Tony Ferguson

Breakdown

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Tony Ferguson

COMING SOON! 

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Tony Ferguson
-160 Odds +145
61.5% Market % 40.8%
70.00% Bet on Combat % 30.00%
+8.5% Inefficiency % -10.8%
Khabib Nurmagomedov - Straight Bet
Odds:-160
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$3125.00
Outcome:Push

Outcome:

This fight has been canceled.

Push

Straight Bet

Lando Vannata (-250)

Lando Vannata vs. David Teymur

Breakdown

Lando Vannata vs. David Teymur

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Lando Vannata vs. David Teymur
-250 Odds +180
71.4% Market % 35.7%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+3.6% Inefficiency % -10.7%
Lando Vannata - Straight Bet
Odds:-250
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$2500.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

David Teymur defeats Lando Vannata via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 30-27).

Loss

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