UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs. Cruz

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Jan. 17, 2016
Venue: TD Garden
City: Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Anthony Pettis (-300) Chris Wade (-320) - (-135)

Anthony Pettis vs. Eddie Alvarez (UFC Fight Night 81: Dillashaw vs. Cruz)
Chris Wade vs. Mehdi Baghdad (UFC Fight Night 81: Dillashaw vs. Cruz)

Prediction

Anthony Pettis (-300) Chris Wade (-320) - Parlay Bet
Odds:-135
Risk:$2500.00
To Win:$1851.85
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Eddie Alvarez defeats Anthony Pettis via Decision (split) (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) at 5:00 Round 3.

The first two rounds were very close. I had Pettis winning them but it was debatable. Alvarez clearly won the third round. 

Chris Wade defeats Mehdi Baghda via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 4:30 of Round 1.

 

Loss

Prop Bet

Fight Does not go over 2.5 rounds (+110)

Patrick Cote vs. Ben Saunders

Breakdown

I have been betting against Patrick Cote at more than 5 UFC events; UFC 90, UFC 113, UFC 121, UFC 148, UFC 178, all bets cashed. So It should come as no surprise that I have no confident in betting on Cote. I expect Ben Saunder to get the fight to the ground and grind a decision. Saunders has more ways to win. However, I just can't trust Saunder either. I suggest a small bet of 1% of your bankroll on 'Fight does not go over 2.5 rounds at +110. 

 

 

Prediction

Fight Does not go over 2.5 rounds - Straight Bet
Odds:+110
Risk:$1000.00
To Win:$1100.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Patrick Cote defeats Ben Saunder via TKO (punches) at 1:14 of Round 2.

 

 

Win

Straight Bet

Francisco Trinaldo  (+120)

Ross Pearson vs. Francisco Trinaldo

Prediction

Ross Pearson vs. Francisco Trinaldo
-165 Odds +120
62.3% Market % 45.5%
35.00% Bet on Combat % 65.00%
-27.3% Inefficiency % +19.5%
Francisco Trinaldo  - Straight Bet
Odds:+120
Risk:$1000.00
To Win:$1200.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Francisco Trinaldo defeats Ross Pearson via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 30-27).

Win

Straight Bet

Chris Wade (-320)

Chris Wade vs. Mehdi Baghdad

Breakdown

Chris Wade is a beast. His well-rounded ground game will be too much for Mehdi Baghdad who is coming into this fight on late replacement. We previously parlay Chris Wade with Anthony Pettis which show how confident we are into Wade to win this fight. We recommend a 5% of your bankroll.

Prediction

Chris Wade vs. Mehdi Baghdad
-320 Odds +260
76.2% Market % 27.8%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
-1.2% Inefficiency % -2.8%
Chris Wade - Straight Bet
Odds:-320
Risk:$6400.00
To Win:$2000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Chris Wade defeats Mehdi Baghda via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 4:30 of Round 1.

Win

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