UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs. Cruz
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Jan. 17, 2016 |
| Venue: | TD Garden |
| City: | Boston, Massachusetts, United States |
| Broadcast: |
Anthony Pettis (-300) Chris Wade (-320) - (-135)
Breakdown
Anthony Pettis vs Eddie Alvarez
This will be a stand up war and Pettis should be the more dynamic and technical striker of the two. Alvarez also tends to take too much damage so I totally see Pettis winning this fight and doing so by TKO.
Chris Wade vs Meghi Baghdad
The wrestling of Wade favors him a lot here as Baghdad gives up the clinch too easy. Wade will out wrestle Baghdad and win a decision.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Anthony Pettis (-300) Chris Wade (-320) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | -135 |
| Risk: | $2500.00 |
| To Win: | $1851.85 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Eddie Alvarez defeats Anthony Pettis via Decision (split) (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) at 5:00 Round 3.
The first two rounds were very close. I had Pettis winning them but it was debatable. Alvarez clearly won the third round.
Chris Wade defeats Mehdi Baghda via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 4:30 of Round 1.
Loss
Fight Does not go over 2.5 rounds (+110)
Breakdown
Patrick Cote vs Ben Saunders fight doesn't go over 2.5 rounds
Both guys have power and I just can't see this one going too long. The defense of both isn't great and somebody is gonna land a big shot to end it early. I have been betting against Patrick Cote at more than 5 UFC events; UFC 90, UFC 113, UFC 121, UFC 148, UFC 178, all bets cashed. So It should come as no surprise that I have no confident in betting on Cote. I expect Ben Saunder to get the fight to the ground and grind a decision. Saunders has more ways to win. However, I just can't trust Saunder either. I suggest a small bet of 1% of your bankroll on 'Fight does not go over 2.5 rounds at +110.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Fight Does not go over 2.5 rounds - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +110 |
| Risk: | $2000.00 |
| To Win: | $2200.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Patrick Cote defeats Ben Saunder via TKO (punches) at 1:14 of Round 2.
Win
Francisco Trinaldo (+120)
Breakdown
Ross Pearson vs Francisco Trinaldo
Trinaldo is more durable and has better movement and gets off his shots well with tricky angles. Trinaldo is much quicker and Pearson struggles vs more quicker and athletic guys. Trinaldo will out strike him to win a decision.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Ross Pearson | vs. | Francisco Trinaldo |
| -165 | Odds | +120 |
| 62.3% | Market % | 45.5% |
| 35.00% | Bet on Combat % | 65.00% |
| -27.3% | Inefficiency % | +19.5% |
| Francisco Trinaldo - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +120 |
| Risk: | $1000.00 |
| To Win: | $1200.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Francisco Trinaldo defeats Ross Pearson via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 30-27).
Win
Chris Wade (-320)
Breakdown
Chris Wade vs Meghi Baghdad
The wrestling of Wade favors him a lot here as Baghdad gives up the clinch too easy. Wade will out wrestle Baghdad and win a decision. Chris Wade is a beast. His well-rounded ground game will be too much for Mehdi Baghdad who is coming into this fight on late replacement. We previously parlay Chris Wade with Anthony Pettis which show how confident we are into Wade to win this fight.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Chris Wade | vs. | Mehdi Baghdad |
| -320 | Odds | +260 |
| 76.2% | Market % | 27.8% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| -1.2% | Inefficiency % | -2.8% |
| Chris Wade - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -320 |
| Risk: | $6400.00 |
| To Win: | $2000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Chris Wade defeats Mehdi Baghda via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 4:30 of Round 1.