UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | June 20, 2020 |
| Venue: | UFC APEX |
| City: | Las Vegas, United States |
| Broadcast: | ESPN+ |
Marc-Andre Barriault (+114)
Breakdown
Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Oskar Piechota
Barriault is 0-3 in the UFC, losing by decision every time. He was 11-1 with eight knockouts on the independent circuit, but his contract status might need a win here. He lands 3.53 strikes per minute while absorbing 4.2, with only one takedown in his UFC career. But the bettors have moved him from an underdog to a dead-heat, with 59% of the bets and 78% of the handle on him to win so far. I will go with the French-Canadian to win via KO.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Marc-Andre Barriault | vs. | Oskar Piechota |
| +114 | Odds | -126 |
| 46.7% | Market % | 55.8% |
| 70.00% | Bet on Combat % | 30.00% |
| +23.3% | Inefficiency % | -25.8% |
| Marc-Andre Barriault - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +114 |
| Risk: | $15000.00 |
| To Win: | $17100.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Marc-Andre Barriault defeats Oskar Piechota via TKO (punches) at 4:50 of round 2.
Marc-Andre Barriault wins by TKO at 4:50 of the second round. Piechota came in as a slight favorite at -125, but was dominated all fight by the Canadian that was +114. The TKO came with just seconds before the bell, but it was a good stoppage as Piechota wasn’t defending himself.
Win
Gillian Robertson (-105)
Breakdown
Gillian Robertson vs. Cortney Casey
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Gillian Robertson | vs. | Cortney Casey |
| -105 | Odds | +106 |
| 51.2% | Market % | 48.5% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +23.8% | Inefficiency % | -23.5% |
| Gillian Robertson - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -105 |
| Risk: | $20000.00 |
| To Win: | $19047.62 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Gillian Robertson defeats Cortney Casey via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 4:42 of round 3.