UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: March 11, 2017
Venue: Fortaleza
City: Brazil, Brazil
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Kelvin Gastelum (-345) Tim Means (-160) - (+110)

Alex Oliveira vs. Tim Means (UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum)
Vitor Belfort vs. Kelvin Gastelum (UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum)

Breakdown

Vitor Belfort vs. Kelvin Gastelum

I see this bout as being Kelvin’s fight to lose, and one-sided performance that he will end this fight inside the distance within the first two rounds of action, probably by TKO/KO, submission or decision, which are all possible outcomes. 

Alex Oliveira vs. Tim Means

In their first fight three month ago, Alex Oliveira was exposed for having weak wrestling, low level striking and a low level ground game. I am expecting the same thing to happen in this rematch with Means picking Oliveira picking apart en route to a unanimous decision on the score card. 

Stake: 5%

 

Prediction

Kelvin Gastelum (-345) Tim Means (-160) - Parlay Bet
Odds:+110
Risk:$3500.00
To Win:$3850.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Kelvin Gastelum defeats Vitor Belfort via TKO (punches) at 1:52 of round 1.

Alex Oliveira defeats Tim Means via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:38 of round 2.

Loss

Straight Bet

Sergio Moraes (-200)

Sergio Moraes vs. Davi Ramos

Breakdown

Sergio Moraes vs. Davi Ramos

See breakdown at http://www.betoncombat.com/news/ufc-fight-night-106-free-prediction/

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Sergio Moraes vs. Davi Ramos
-200 Odds +170
66.7% Market % 37.0%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+8.3% Inefficiency % -12.0%
Sergio Moraes - Straight Bet
Odds:-200
Risk:$7000.00
To Win:$3500.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Sergio defeats Davi Ramos via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 30-27).

Win

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