UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | March 11, 2017 |
| Venue: | Fortaleza |
| City: | Brazil, Brazil |
| Broadcast: |
Kelvin Gastelum (-345) Tim Means (-160) - (+110)
Breakdown
Vitor Belfort vs. Kelvin Gastelum
I see this bout as being Kelvin’s fight to lose, and one-sided performance that he will end this fight inside the distance within the first two rounds of action, probably by TKO/KO, submission or decision, which are all possible outcomes.
Alex Oliveira vs. Tim Means
In their first fight three month ago, Alex Oliveira was exposed for having weak wrestling, low level striking and a low level ground game. I am expecting the same thing to happen in this rematch with Means picking Oliveira picking apart en route to a unanimous decision on the score card.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Kelvin Gastelum (-345) Tim Means (-160) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | +110 |
| Risk: | $4500.00 |
| To Win: | $4950.00 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Kelvin Gastelum defeats Vitor Belfort via TKO (punches) at 1:52 of round 1.
Alex Oliveira defeats Tim Means via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:38 of round 2.
Loss
Sergio Moraes (-200)
Breakdown
Sergio Moraes vs. Davi Ramos
See breakdown at http://www.betoncombat.com/news/ufc-fight-night-106-free-prediction/
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Sergio Moraes | vs. | Davi Ramos |
| -200 | Odds | +170 |
| 66.7% | Market % | 37.0% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +8.3% | Inefficiency % | -12.0% |
| Sergio Moraes - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -200 |
| Risk: | $9000.00 |
| To Win: | $4500.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Sergio defeats Davi Ramos via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 30-27).