UFC 84: Ill Will
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | May 24, 2008 |
| Venue: | MGM Grand Garden Arena |
| City: | Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Broadcast: | Pay-Per-View |
Straight Bet
Lyoto Machida (-170)
Lyoto Machida vs. Tito Ortiz
Breakdown
Lyoto Machida vs. Tito Ortiz
Machida has the striking edge and is a better jiu jitsu fighter who has a difficult stand up game to prepare for. The style of Machida will throw off Ortiz and if its not a finish by Machida it will be a unanimous decision victory.
Stake: 7%
Prediction
| Lyoto Machida | vs. | Tito Ortiz |
| -170 | Odds | +140 |
| 63.0% | Market % | 41.7% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +12.0% | Inefficiency % | -16.7% |
| Lyoto Machida - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -170 |
| Risk: | $7650.00 |
| To Win: | $4500.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Lyoto Machida defeats Tito Ortiz via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27).