UFC 58: USA vs. Canada

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: March 4, 2006
Venue: Mandalay Bay Events Center
City: Las Vegas, Nevada
Broadcast: PPV
Straight Bet

David Loiseau  (+220)

David Loiseau vs. Rich Franklin

Breakdown

David Loiseau vs. Rich Franklin

Loiseau has lethal striking and can definitely finish Franklin on the feet here. Franklin has the advantage on the ground but I see him wanting to strike with Loiseau and hopefully Loiseau lands one of those lethal elbows to TKO Franklin.

Stake: 3%

Prediction

David Loiseau vs. Rich Franklin
-300 Odds +220
75.0% Market % 31.3%
62.00% Bet on Combat % 38.00%
-13.0% Inefficiency % +6.7%
David Loiseau  - Straight Bet
Odds:+220
Risk:$2500.00
To Win:$5500.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Rich Franklin defeats David Loiseau via Decision (unanimous) (50–43, 50–43, 50–42).

Loss

Straight Bet

Georges St-Pierre  (+110)

BJ Penn vs. Georges St. Pierre

Breakdown

Georges St-Pierre vs. BJ Penn

St-Pierre is the better athlete and has better striking, his wrestling and size should keep Penn from getting him to the ground. Pierre should light up Penn on the feet through out the match and take Penn out of his game. St-Pierre wins via unanimous decision.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

BJ Penn vs. Georges St. Pierre
-140 Odds +110
58.3% Market % 47.6%
55.00% Bet on Combat % 45.00%
-3.3% Inefficiency % -2.6%
Georges St-Pierre  - Straight Bet
Odds:+110
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$5500.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Georges St-Pierre defeats B.J. Penn via Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28).

 

 

Win

Straight Bet

Tom Murphy  (-165)

Tom Murphy vs. Icho Larenas

Breakdown

Tom Murphy vs. Icho Larenas

Both these guys have power. Murphy is just better on the feet and should find a hole in Larenas defense to land a big shot to win by KO.

Stake: 7%

Prediction

Tom Murphy vs. Icho Larenas
-165 Odds +145
62.3% Market % 40.8%
64.00% Bet on Combat % 36.00%
+1.7% Inefficiency % -4.8%
Tom Murphy  - Straight Bet
Odds:-165
Risk:$8250.00
To Win:$5000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Tom Murphy defeats Icho Larenas via TKO (punches) at 1:59 of round 3.

Win

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