UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Oct. 6, 2018
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
City: Las Vegas
Broadcast: Pay-per-view
Straight Bet

Khabib Nurmagomedov (-155)

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Conor McGregor

Breakdown

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Conor McGregor

Nurmagomedov (26-0) is 30 and he’s 10-0 in the UFC. McGregor (21-3) is 30 and he’s 9-1 in the UFC. I’ve been going back-and-forth on this fight since it was announced. Both fighters have gaps where the other excels. I like Nurmagomedov’s wrestling and think he close the distance, take down McGregor, and mauled him on the ground repeatedly just like he  has done to everyone else.

Stake: 7%

Prediction

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Conor McGregor
-155 Odds +135
60.8% Market % 42.6%
65.00% Bet on Combat % 35.00%
+4.2% Inefficiency % -7.6%
Khabib Nurmagomedov - Straight Bet
Odds:-155
Risk:$250000.00
To Win:$161290.32
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Win

Straight Bet

Dominick Reyes (-180)

Ovince St. Preux vs. Dominick Reyes

Breakdown

Ovince St-Preux vs. Dominick Reyes

Reyes (9-0) is 28 and he’s 3-0 in the UFC. He’s powerful, athletic, and his striking is very sharp. I believe he is the better mixed martial artist and I see him knocking out St-Preux within the first round. 

Stakke: 3%

Prediction

Ovince St. Preux vs. Dominick Reyes
+145 Odds -180
40.8% Market % 64.3%
35.00% Bet on Combat % 65.00%
-5.8% Inefficiency % +0.7%
Dominick Reyes - Straight Bet
Odds:-180
Risk:$18000.00
To Win:$10000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Win

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