UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: June 3, 2017
Venue: HSBC Arena
City: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Claudia Gadelha (-290) Luan Chagas (-170)   - (-114)

Luan Chagas vs. Jim Wallhead (UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway)
Claudia Gadelha vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz (UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway)

Breakdown

Stake: 3%

Prediction

Claudia Gadelha (-290) Luan Chagas (-170)   - Parlay Bet
Odds:-114
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$4385.96
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Claudia Gadelha defeats Karolina Kowalkiewicz via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 3:03 of round 1.

Luan Chagas defeats Jim Wallhead via Submission (rear-naked choke) 4:48 of round 2.

Win

Straight Bet

Max Holloway (+160)

Jose Aldo vs. Max Holloway

Breakdown

Jose Aldo vs. Max Holloway

I’ve been saying for awhile that Max Holloway will beats Aldo, so I have to bet on the bigger and younger fighter. I see Holloway keeping distance and using his length and picking apart and outstrike Aldo to pick up a unanimous-decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. There's always a second scenarios where I can see Aldo remain disciplined and counter attacks with legs kicks en route to a unanimous decision on the scores card. I think Max is the right side for a wager in this matchup, as I believe he should be slightly favored heading in.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Jose Aldo vs. Max Holloway
-127 Odds +160
55.9% Market % 38.5%
30.00% Bet on Combat % 70.00%
-25.9% Inefficiency % +31.5%
Max Holloway - Straight Bet
Odds:+160
Risk:$10000.00
To Win:$16000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Max Holloway defeats Jose Aldo via TKO (punches) at 4:13 of round 3.

Win

Straight Bet

Vitor Belfort (-152)

Vitor Belfort vs. Nate Marquardt

Breakdown

Vitor Belfort vs. Nate Marquardt

Stake: 2%

Prediction

Vitor Belfort vs. Nate Marquardt
-152 Odds +145
60.3% Market % 40.8%
60.00% Bet on Combat % 40.00%
-0.3% Inefficiency % -0.8%
Vitor Belfort - Straight Bet
Odds:-152
Risk:$2500.00
To Win:$1644.74
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Vitor Belfort defeats Nate Marquardt via Decision (unanimous) (29-28, 29-28, 29-28).

Win

Straight Bet

Luan Chagas (-170)

Luan Chagas vs. Jim Wallhead

Breakdown

Luan Chagas vs. Jim Wallhead

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Luan Chagas vs. Jim Wallhead
-170 Odds +155
63.0% Market % 39.2%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+12.0% Inefficiency % -14.2%
Luan Chagas - Straight Bet
Odds:-170
Risk:$10000.00
To Win:$5882.35
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Luan Chagas defeats Jim Wallhead via Submission (rear-naked choke) 4:48 of round 2.

 

Win

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