UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Jan. 21, 2017
Venue: Honda Center
City: Anaheim, California, United States
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Ronaldo Souza (-445) Islam Makhachev (-160) - (-101)

Nik Lentz vs. Islam Makhachev (UFC 208: TBA)
Ronaldo Souza vs. Tim Boetsch (UFC 208: TBA)

Breakdown

Ronaldo Souza vs. Tim Boetsch

Souza versus Boetsch is a ridiculous mismatch, but for the Barbarian it's kinda nothing to lose. All respect to Boetsch but Jacare is in another league. This is the kind of match up that looks completely 1-sided on paper, but the reality is anyone can get knocked out in that octagon. Boetsch is a savvy vet and throws heavy hands. He’s got a fighters chance to win this. Early upset of the year candidate? I don't think so. Jacare is clearly one of the Top 10 pound for pound fighters in the world. Even at -500, he is still very much worth putting into a parlay. And Jacare inside the distance is also worth consideration. 

Nik Lentz vs. Islam Makhachev

I think Nik Lentz is going to be outmatched in this fight against the 25-year-old Islam Makhachev. I believe Makhachev hold an advantage on the feet and on the ground, so I see him finishing this fight by either TKO/KO or submission. 

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Ronaldo Souza (-445) Islam Makhachev (-160) - Parlay Bet
Odds:-101
Risk:$7500.00
To Win:$7425.74
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Ronaldo Souza defeats Tim Boetsch via Submission (kimura) at 3:41 of round 1.

Win

Parlay Bet

Ronaldo Souza/Tim Boetsch inside the distance Wilson Reis to win - (-180)

Wilson Reis vs. Ulka Sasaki (UFC 208: TBA)
Ronaldo Souza vs. Tim Boetsch (UFC 208: TBA)

Breakdown

Jacare Souza vs Tim Boetsch

Wilson Reis vs Ulka Sasaki

For this card I took Jacare to win inside the distance and Reis to win straight up at -176 odds for a 2 man parlay (bet $176 to win $100) Jacare is a beast skill wise and Boetsch just isn't on his level. Jacare can win any way he wants really but most likely it will be by submission so betting Jacare by submission is a great bet as well. Like Jacare, Reis is fighting a guy he is just better than. Reis vs Sasaki is grappler vs grappler but Reis is the better grappler and wrestler who is more powerful than Sasaki. Both guys will win handily so get them in your parlays and what not.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Ronaldo Souza/Tim Boetsch inside the distance Wilson Reis to win - Parlay Bet
Odds:-180
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$2777.78
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Jacare Souza defeats Tim Boetsch via submission at 3:41 of round 1.

Wilson Reis defeats Ulka Sasaki via Decision (unanimous) (29-28, 29-28, 29-28).

Win

Straight Bet

Islam Makhachev (-160)

Nik Lentz vs. Islam Makhachev

Breakdown

Nik Lentz vs. Islam Makhachev

I think Nik Lentz is going to be outmatched in this fight against the 25-year-old Islam Makhachev. I believe Makhachev hold an advantage on the feet and on the ground, so I see him finishing this fight by either TKO/KO or submission. We also parlay Islam Makhachev with Ronaldo Souza to show how confident we are.

Stake: 10%

Prediction

Nik Lentz vs. Islam Makhachev
+200 Odds -160
33.3% Market % 61.5%
20.00% Bet on Combat % 80.00%
-13.3% Inefficiency % +18.5%
Islam Makhachev - Straight Bet
Odds:-160
Risk:$20000.00
To Win:$12500.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Islam Makhachev defeats Nik Lentz via unanimous decision (30-25, 30-25, 30-27).

Win

{{ message.username }} {{getTimestamp(message.timestamp)}}
{{ message.body }}
Create a FREE account to use the Chat.