UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Dec. 10, 2016
Venue: Air Canada Centre
City: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Donald Cerrone (-240) Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-155) - (+133)

Donald Cerrone vs. Matt Brown (UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis)
Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs. Drew Dober (UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis)

Prediction

Donald Cerrone (-240) Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-155) - Parlay Bet
Odds:+133
Risk:$2500.00
To Win:$3325.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Donald Cerrone defeats Matt Brown via KO (head kick) at 0:34 of round 3.

Olivier Aubin-Mercier defeats Drew Dober via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:57 of round 2.

Win

Straight Bet

Max Holloway (-160)

Max Holloway vs. Anthony Pettis

Breakdown

Max Holloway vs. Anthony Pettis

Holloway’s superior boxing seems to me be the deciding factor. I see Holloway pressuring Pettis throughout the fight, and I see it being a competitive contest in the early rounds. But as the minutes go by, I see Holloway’s tenacity, pressure, and volume in strikes getting the better of Pettis. Pettis just doesn’t throw enough to trust him to win rounds in a five-round fight. His best path to victory is to take Holloway down or for Holloway to get caught by a Pettis submission off of his back.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Max Holloway vs. Anthony Pettis
+160 Odds +145
38.5% Market % 40.8%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+36.5% Inefficiency % -15.8%
Max Holloway - Straight Bet
Odds:-160
Risk:$10000.00
To Win:$6250.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Max Holloway defeats Anthony Pettis via TKO (punches) at 4:50 of round 3.

Win

Straight Bet

Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-155)

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs. Drew Dober

Prediction

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs. Drew Dober
-155 Odds +140
60.8% Market % 41.7%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+14.2% Inefficiency % -16.7%
Olivier Aubin-Mercier - Straight Bet
Odds:-155
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$3225.81
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Olivier Aubin-Mercier defeats Drew Dober via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:57 of round 2.

Win

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