UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Dec. 10, 2016 |
| Venue: | Air Canada Centre |
| City: | Toronto, Ontario, Canada |
| Broadcast: |
Donald Cerrone (-240) Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-155) - (+133)
Breakdown
Donald Cerrone vs Matt Brown
Cerrone is more faster and technical on the feet and I don't see Brown being able to handle the speed of Cerrone who should land a lot strikes and win via TKO.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Drew Dober
OAM is the much bigger fighter who should be able to get the clinch and just out grapple Dober at will. Dober hasn't performed to well vs high level grapplers and his take down defense is so so. OAM by submission.
Prediction
| Donald Cerrone (-240) Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-155) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | +133 |
| Risk: | $2500.00 |
| To Win: | $3325.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Donald Cerrone defeats Matt Brown via KO (head kick) at 0:34 of round 3.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier defeats Drew Dober via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:57 of round 2.
Win
Max Holloway (-160)
Breakdown
Max Holloway vs. Anthony Pettis
Pettis missed weight and has a brutal weight cut to 145 and he has to feel like death. For Holloway his boxing, range fighting, quickness, and strength is better than Pettis. One key factor as well is that Holloway is damn near unstoppable right now and looks better than ever. Pettis won't be able to handle the pace and striking skills of Holloway. Holloway by TKO.
Stake: 7%
Prediction
| Max Holloway | vs. | Anthony Pettis |
| +160 | Odds | +145 |
| 38.5% | Market % | 40.8% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +36.5% | Inefficiency % | -15.8% |
| Max Holloway - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -160 |
| Risk: | $15000.00 |
| To Win: | $9375.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Max Holloway defeats Anthony Pettis via TKO (punches) at 4:50 of round 3.
Win
Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-155)
Breakdown
Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Drew Dober
OAM is the much bigger fighter who should be able to get the clinch and just out grapple Dober at will. Dober hasn't performed to well vs high level grapplers and his take down defense is so so. OAM by submission.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Olivier Aubin-Mercier | vs. | Drew Dober |
| -155 | Odds | +140 |
| 60.8% | Market % | 41.7% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +14.2% | Inefficiency % | -16.7% |
| Olivier Aubin-Mercier - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -155 |
| Risk: | $7500.00 |
| To Win: | $4838.71 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Olivier Aubin-Mercier defeats Drew Dober via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:57 of round 2.