UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor
|Date:||Nov. 12, 2016|
|Venue:||Madison Square Garden|
|City:||New York, New York, United States|
Frankie Edgar Joanna Jedrzejczyk - (-164)
Frankie Edgar vs Jeremy Stephens
Edgar is the better overall fighter who has multiple paths to take this fight about any where he wants to go. Edgar's footwork, speed, and wrestling give him the edge and I expect him to out strike Stephens and land some take downs along the way. Edgar by decision.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz
This fight will be standing the whole time and Karolina just isn't on the level of Joanna when it comes to striking. Joanna is just too quick and more technical for Karolina so she will out strike Karolina and win a decision.
|Frankie Edgar Joanna Jedrzejczyk - Parlay Bet|
Frankie Edgar defeats Jeremy Stephens via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 29-28).
Joanna Jedrzejczyk defeats Karolina Kowalkiewicz via Decision (unanimous) (49-46, 49-46, 49-46).
Conor McGregor (-120)
Conor McGregor vs. Eddie Alvarez
From a purely technical perspective, Eddie does get hit a lot while throwing wild hooks and coming up against a precise, ko artist and dynamic striker like Conor, that won’t be a good recipe for success. Also, Eddie’s wrestling credentials are nowhere near Chad Mendes’s but I expect him to still shoot a lot. I don’t expect Eddie Alvarez to want to trade strikes on the feet with Conor. I think Conor catches Eddie in or out of a clinch attempt and ends it. Regarding his antics outside the cage, I wouldn’t put much weight one way or the other. At -120 odds, this is a value bet. Just like the Tyron Woodley vs Stephen Thompson fight, we may add more money as the line keep going to move in our favor.
|Eddie Alvarez||vs.||Conor McGregor|
|35.00%||Bet on Combat %||65.00%|
|Conor McGregor - Straight Bet|
Conor McGregor defeats Eddie Alvarez via TKO (punches) at 3:04 of round 3.
Khabib Nurmagomedov (-180)
Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Michael Johnson
The wrestling and grappling of Khabib is just too much to handle and it doesn't matter who you are more times than not Khabib will get his hands on you and when he does he will take you down and hold you there. Khabib wins unanimous decision.
|Khabib Nurmagomedov||vs.||Michael Johnson|
|75.00%||Bet on Combat %||25.00%|
|Khabib Nurmagomedov - Straight Bet|
Khabib Nurmagomedov defeats Michael Johnson via Submission (kimura) at 2:31 of round 3.
Stephen Thompson (-170)
Stephen Thompson vs. Tyron Woodley
I think Stephen Thompson should be a 4-to-1 betting favorite heading into this fight, which makes him a great bet at the current odds. Thompson is a significantly better striker than Tyron Woodley and has excellent takedown defence, which means that it’s going to be difficult for Woodley to take him down and keep him down. I see Thompson picking Woodley apart for 5 rounds en route for a unanimous decision. I called Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson’s last 7 fights, and I understand just how good he is.
|Tyron Woodley||vs.||Stephen Thompson|
|25.00%||Bet on Combat %||75.00%|
|Stephen Thompson - Straight Bet|
Tyron Woodley vs Stephen Thompson Draw (majority) (47-47, 47-47, 48-47).
All that stress for a push. Thompson should have been a winner but at least I get my money back. As I told many of you I put my money where my mouth is. Show me another bettor that bets figures like this and is a long term winner. There are none!