UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson 2

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Oct. 8, 2016
Venue: Manchester
City: Greater Manchester, England
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Gegard Mousasi (-300) Michael Bisping (-200)   - (+100)

Michael Bisping vs. Dan Henderson (UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson 2)
Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi (UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson 2)

Breakdown

Michael Bisping vs. Dan Henderson

This fight is pretty simple to break down, as I believe Henderson only has one way to win. Bisping knows that if he avoids that obvious right hand he will dominate the fight. Bisping has improved his MMA game since they first fought in 2009, most importantly is the mental toughness. If he plays it smart, there's no reason he can successfully defend his title.

Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi

Just like Bisping-Henderson, Mousasi should be able to stay disciplined and avoids the early onslaught of Belfort. I expect Gegard to slowly pick apart and beat Belfort both on the feet and on the ground. Vitor is dangerous and still has speed in the first three minutes of the fight, but after the first round, not much. Anything is possible, but Gegard Mousasi is definitely the superior mixed martial artist in this match-up. 

Stake: 3%

Prediction

Gegard Mousasi (-300) Michael Bisping (-200)   - Parlay Bet
Odds:+100
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$5000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Michael Bisping defeats Dan Henderson via Decision (unanimous) (48-47, 48-47, 49-46).

Gegard Mousasi defeats Vitor Belfort via TKO (punches) at 2:43 of round 2.

Win

Parlay Bet

Michael Bisping vs. Dan Henderson Fight doesn't go to distance (-280) Gegard Mousasi to win (-300) - (-124)

Michael Bisping vs. Dan Henderson (UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson 2)
Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi (UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson 2)

Prediction

Michael Bisping vs. Dan Henderson Fight doesn't go to distance (-280) Gegard Mousasi to win (-300) - Parlay Bet
Odds:-124
Risk:$1500.00
To Win:$1209.68
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Michael Bisping defeats Dan Henderson via Decision (unanimous) (48-47, 48-47, 49-46).

Gegard Mousasi defeats Vitor Belfort via TKO (punches) at 2:43 of round 2.

 

Loss

Prop Bet

Gegard Mousasi wins inside the distance (-172)

Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi

Prediction

Gegard Mousasi wins inside the distance - Straight Bet
Odds:-172
Risk:$1720.00
To Win:$1000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Gegard Mousasi defeats Vitor Belfort via TKO (punches) at 2:43 of round 2.

Win

Straight Bet

Gegard Mousasi   (-290)

Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi

Breakdown

Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi

Just like Bisping-Henderson, Mousasi should be able to stay disciplined and avoids the early onslaught of Belfort. I expect Gegard to slowly pick apart and beat Belfort both on the feet and on the ground. Vitor is dangerous and still has speed in the first three minutes of the fight, but after the first round, not much. Anything is possible, but Gegard Mousasi is definitely the superior mixed martial artist in this match-up. 

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi
+250 Odds -290
28.6% Market % 74.4%
30.00% Bet on Combat % 70.00%
+1.4% Inefficiency % -4.4%
Gegard Mousasi   - Straight Bet
Odds:-290
Risk:$10000.00
To Win:$3448.28
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Gegard Mousasi defeats Vitor Belfort via TKO (punches) at 2:43 of round 2.

Win

Straight Bet

Stefan Struve (-170)

Stefan Struve vs. Daniel Omielanczuk

Breakdown

Stake: 3%

Prediction

Stefan Struve vs. Daniel Omielanczuk
-170 Odds +160
63.0% Market % 38.5%
70.00% Bet on Combat % 30.00%
+7.0% Inefficiency % -8.5%
Stefan Struve - Straight Bet
Odds:-170
Risk:$7200.00
To Win:$4235.29
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Stefan Struve defeats Daniel Omielanczuk via Submission (D'Arce choke) at 1:21 of round 2.

Win

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