UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson 2

Sport: | MMA |
Promotion: | UFC |
Date: | Oct. 8, 2016 |
Venue: | Manchester |
City: | Greater Manchester, England |
Broadcast: |
Gegard Mousasi (-300) Michael Bisping (-200) - (+100)
Breakdown
Michael Bisping vs. Dan Henderson
This fight is pretty simple to break down, as I believe Henderson only has one way to win. Bisping knows that if he avoids that obvious right hand he will dominate the fight. Bisping has improved his MMA game since they first fought in 2009, most importantly is the mental toughness. If he plays it smart, there's no reason he can successfully defend his title.
Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi
Just like Bisping-Henderson, Mousasi should be able to stay disciplined and avoids the early onslaught of Belfort. I expect Gegard to slowly pick apart and beat Belfort both on the feet and on the ground. Vitor is dangerous and still has speed in the first three minutes of the fight, but after the first round, not much. Anything is possible, but Gegard Mousasi is definitely the superior mixed martial artist in this match-up.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
Gegard Mousasi (-300) Michael Bisping (-200) - Parlay Bet | |
Odds: | +100 |
Risk: | $5000.00 |
To Win: | $5000.00 |
Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Michael Bisping defeats Dan Henderson via Decision (unanimous) (48-47, 48-47, 49-46).
Gegard Mousasi defeats Vitor Belfort via TKO (punches) at 2:43 of round 2.
Win
Michael Bisping vs. Dan Henderson Fight doesn't go to distance (-280) Gegard Mousasi to win (-300) - (-124)
Breakdown
Michael Bisping vs Dan Henderson
Bisping has finally started to put his game together. Bisping has improved his striking and combinations and I don't think the durability of Henderson will be able to take it. Bisping will out strike Henderson on the feet and win via TKO.
Gegard Mousasi vs Vitor Belfort
Vitor just isn't the same fighter off of TRT and his age has really started to show. Mousasi will be disciplined enough and avoid any early storm by Belfort and once that happen he will pick apart Belfort on the feet and win via TKO. Mousasi wins inside the distance.
Prediction
Michael Bisping vs. Dan Henderson Fight doesn't go to distance (-280) Gegard Mousasi to win (-300) - Parlay Bet | |
Odds: | -124 |
Risk: | $1500.00 |
To Win: | $1209.68 |
Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Michael Bisping defeats Dan Henderson via Decision (unanimous) (48-47, 48-47, 49-46).
Gegard Mousasi defeats Vitor Belfort via TKO (punches) at 2:43 of round 2.
Loss
Gegard Mousasi wins inside the distance (-172)
Breakdown
Gegard Mousasi vs Vitor Belfort
Vitor just isn't the same fighter off of TRT and his age has really started to show. Mousasi will be disciplined enough and avoid any early storm by Belfort and once that happen he will pick apart Belfort on the feet and win via TKO. Mousasi wins inside the distance.
Prediction
Gegard Mousasi wins inside the distance - Straight Bet | |
Odds: | -172 |
Risk: | $1720.00 |
To Win: | $1000.00 |
Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Gegard Mousasi defeats Vitor Belfort via TKO (punches) at 2:43 of round 2.
Win
Gegard Mousasi (-290)
Breakdown
Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi
Just like Bisping-Henderson, Mousasi should be able to stay disciplined and avoids the early onslaught of Belfort. I expect Gegard to slowly pick apart and beat Belfort both on the feet and on the ground. Vitor is dangerous and still has speed in the first three minutes of the fight, but after the first round, not much. Anything is possible, but Gegard Mousasi is definitely the superior mixed martial artist in this match-up.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
Vitor Belfort | vs. | Gegard Mousasi |
+250 | Odds | -290 |
28.6% | Market % | 74.4% |
30.00% | Bet on Combat % | 70.00% |
+1.4% | Inefficiency % | -4.4% |
Gegard Mousasi - Straight Bet | |
Odds: | -290 |
Risk: | $10000.00 |
To Win: | $3448.28 |
Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Gegard Mousasi defeats Vitor Belfort via TKO (punches) at 2:43 of round 2.
Win
Stefan Struve (-170)
Breakdown
Stefan Struve vs. Daniel Omeilanczuk
Daniel just doesn't compare to Struve as a fighter. The power, grappling, and pace of Struve will be tough to deal with and I don't see Daniel being able to handle it. Struve by TKO.
Stake: 7%
Prediction
Stefan Struve | vs. | Daniel Omielanczuk |
-170 | Odds | +160 |
63.0% | Market % | 38.5% |
70.00% | Bet on Combat % | 30.00% |
+7.0% | Inefficiency % | -8.5% |
Stefan Struve - Straight Bet | |
Odds: | -170 |
Risk: | $7200.00 |
To Win: | $4235.29 |
Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Stefan Struve defeats Daniel Omielanczuk via Submission (D'Arce choke) at 1:21 of round 2.