UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Aug. 20, 2016
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
City: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Hyun Gyu Lim (-250) Raquel Pennington (-227) - (+102)

Hyun Gyu Lim vs. Mike Perry (UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2)
Raquel Pennington vs. Elizabeth Phillips (UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2)

Breakdown

Hyun Gyu Lim vs. Mike Perry

Short notice UFC debut against a knockout artist? This isn’t going the distance, and I expect another quick finish from the Korean fighter.

Bet Percentage: 1%

Prediction

Hyun Gyu Lim (-250) Raquel Pennington (-227) - Parlay Bet
Odds:+102
Risk:$1000.00
To Win:$1020.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Loss

Parlay Bet

Diaz vs Mcgregor Fight Starts Round 2 Raquel Pennington  - (-125)

Raquel Pennington vs. Elizabeth Phillips (UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2)
Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor (UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2)

Prediction

Diaz vs Mcgregor Fight Starts Round 2 Raquel Pennington  - Parlay Bet
Odds:-125
Risk:$2500.00
To Win:$2000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Conor McGregor defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).

Raquel Pennington defeats Elizabeth Phillips via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 30-27).

Win

Prop Bet

Diaz/McGregor Fight Starts round 4 (+120)

Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor

Breakdown

Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor

Although I am officially betting on Diaz, as I previously mentioned in my first breakdown and prediction of Nate Diaz, I believe that Conor has more options to win this fight. That said, we are going to hedge this play with a proposition ‘Fight starts round 4 at +120. After careful consideration, I believe this fight should goes to the distance. I don't see any of them finishing their opponent. However, stoppage due to a cut won't surprise me either. 

Prediction

Diaz/McGregor Fight Starts round 4 - Straight Bet
Odds:+120
Risk:$1000.00
To Win:$1200.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Conor McGregor defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).

Win

Straight Bet

Nate Diaz (+117)

Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor

Breakdown

Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor

I’m super excited to see those two battle for the second times. I do believe that we will see a better version of McGregor than we did last time out. I don’t think this is going to be over as fast as the first one. I’ll probably hate myself for this, but for the first time ever, I’m picking against Conor McGregor. Conor is just not built for welterweight. This is definitely a value bet at odds +117.

Bet percentage: 1%

Prediction

Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor
+117 Odds -139
46.1% Market % 58.2%
58.00% Bet on Combat % 42.00%
+11.9% Inefficiency % -16.2%
Nate Diaz - Straight Bet
Odds:+117
Risk:$1500.00
To Win:$1755.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Conor McGregor defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).

Loss

Straight Bet

Anthony Johnson (-190)

Anthony Johnson vs. Glover Teixeira

Breakdown

Anthony Johnson vs. Glover Teixeira

Anthony Johnson is younger, faster, more athletic, and also has a more diverse striking arsenal than Glover Teixeira. I believe this is his fight to lose. 

Bet Percentage: 5%

Prediction

Anthony Johnson vs. Glover Teixeira
-190 Odds +177
65.5% Market % 36.1%
64.00% Bet on Combat % 36.00%
-1.5% Inefficiency % -0.1%
Anthony Johnson - Straight Bet
Odds:-190
Risk:$12000.00
To Win:$6315.79
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Anthony Johnson defeats Glover Teixeira via KO (punch) at 0:13 of round 1.

Win

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