UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Aug. 20, 2016
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
City: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Hyun Gyu Lim (-250) Raquel Pennington (-227) - (+102)

Hyun Gyu Lim vs. Mike Perry (UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2)
Raquel Pennington vs. Elizabeth Phillips (UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2)

Breakdown

Hyun Gyu Lim vs Mike Perry

Perry is making his UFC debut on short notice vs a KO artist in Lim. Lim is powerful and has fought better guys than Perry. I expect Lim to use his striking and crack Perry to win via KO.

Stake: 3%

Prediction

Hyun Gyu Lim (-250) Raquel Pennington (-227) - Parlay Bet
Odds:+102
Risk:$1000.00
To Win:$1020.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Mike Perry defeats Hyun Gyu Lim via TKO (punches) at 3:38 of round 1

Loss

Parlay Bet

Diaz vs Mcgregor Fight Starts Round 2 Raquel Pennington  - (-125)

Raquel Pennington vs. Elizabeth Phillips (UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2)
Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor (UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2)

Breakdown

Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz

Not a good match up for McGregor and I don't see it going any different than last time. Nate is just too big and long and isn't easy to finish on the feet. Nate has the better all around game so no matter how it goes Nate is in position to beat McGregor once again.

 

Raquel Pennington vs Elizabeth Phillips

Raquel is the better fighter who is a lot more stronger and has better boxing skills. Raquel will out strike her opponent and win a decision.

 
Stake: 5%

Prediction

Diaz vs Mcgregor Fight Starts Round 2 Raquel Pennington  - Parlay Bet
Odds:-125
Risk:$4500.00
To Win:$3600.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Conor McGregor defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).

Raquel Pennington defeats Elizabeth Phillips via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 30-27).

Win

Prop Bet

Diaz/McGregor Fight Starts round 4 (+120)

Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor

Breakdown

Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor

Although I am officially betting on Diaz, as I previously mentioned in my first breakdown and prediction of Nate Diaz, I believe that Conor has more options to win this fight. That said, we are going to hedge this play with a proposition ‘Fight starts round 4 at +120. After careful consideration, I believe this fight should goes to the distance. I don't see any of them finishing their opponent. However, stoppage due to a cut won't surprise me either. 

Stake: 3%

Prediction

Diaz/McGregor Fight Starts round 4 - Straight Bet
Odds:+120
Risk:$1000.00
To Win:$1200.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Conor McGregor defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).

Win

Straight Bet

Nate Diaz (+117)

Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor

Breakdown

Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz

Not a good match up for McGregor and I don't see it going any different than last time. Nate is just too big and long and isn't easy to finish on the feet. Nate has the better all around game so no matter how it goes Nate is in position to beat McGregor once again.

Stake: 3%

 

Prediction

Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor
+117 Odds -139
46.1% Market % 58.2%
58.00% Bet on Combat % 42.00%
+11.9% Inefficiency % -16.2%
Nate Diaz - Straight Bet
Odds:+117
Risk:$1500.00
To Win:$1755.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Conor McGregor defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).

Loss

Straight Bet

Anthony Johnson (-190)

Anthony Johnson vs. Glover Teixeira

Breakdown

Anthony Johnson vs. Glover Teixeira

Rumble is younger, faster, more athletic, and packs a more diverse arsenal with his striking compared to Teixeira. As long as Rumble don't get care less he will KO Teixeira. 

Stake: 10%

Prediction

Anthony Johnson vs. Glover Teixeira
-190 Odds +177
65.5% Market % 36.1%
64.00% Bet on Combat % 36.00%
-1.5% Inefficiency % -0.1%
Anthony Johnson - Straight Bet
Odds:-190
Risk:$22900.00
To Win:$12052.63
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Anthony Johnson defeats Glover Teixeira via KO (punch) at 0:13 of round 1.

Win

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