UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Aug. 20, 2016 |
| Venue: | T-Mobile Arena |
| City: | Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Broadcast: |
Hyun Gyu Lim (-250) Raquel Pennington (-227) - (+102)
Breakdown
Hyun Gyu Lim vs Mike Perry
Perry is making his UFC debut on short notice vs a KO artist in Lim. Lim is powerful and has fought better guys than Perry. I expect Lim to use his striking and crack Perry to win via KO.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Hyun Gyu Lim (-250) Raquel Pennington (-227) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | +102 |
| Risk: | $1000.00 |
| To Win: | $1020.00 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Mike Perry defeats Hyun Gyu Lim via TKO (punches) at 3:38 of round 1
Loss
Diaz vs Mcgregor Fight Starts Round 2 Raquel Pennington - (-125)
Breakdown
Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz
Not a good match up for McGregor and I don't see it going any different than last time. Nate is just too big and long and isn't easy to finish on the feet. Nate has the better all around game so no matter how it goes Nate is in position to beat McGregor once again.
Raquel Pennington vs Elizabeth Phillips
Raquel is the better fighter who is a lot more stronger and has better boxing skills. Raquel will out strike her opponent and win a decision.
Prediction
| Diaz vs Mcgregor Fight Starts Round 2 Raquel Pennington - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | -125 |
| Risk: | $4500.00 |
| To Win: | $3600.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Conor McGregor defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).
Raquel Pennington defeats Elizabeth Phillips via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 30-27).
Win
Diaz/McGregor Fight Starts round 4 (+120)
Breakdown
Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor
Although I am officially betting on Diaz, as I previously mentioned in my first breakdown and prediction of Nate Diaz, I believe that Conor has more options to win this fight. That said, we are going to hedge this play with a proposition ‘Fight starts round 4 at +120. After careful consideration, I believe this fight should goes to the distance. I don't see any of them finishing their opponent. However, stoppage due to a cut won't surprise me either.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Diaz/McGregor Fight Starts round 4 - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +120 |
| Risk: | $1000.00 |
| To Win: | $1200.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Conor McGregor defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).
Win
Nate Diaz (+117)
Breakdown
Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz
Not a good match up for McGregor and I don't see it going any different than last time. Nate is just too big and long and isn't easy to finish on the feet. Nate has the better all around game so no matter how it goes Nate is in position to beat McGregor once again.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Nate Diaz | vs. | Conor McGregor |
| +117 | Odds | -139 |
| 46.1% | Market % | 58.2% |
| 58.00% | Bet on Combat % | 42.00% |
| +11.9% | Inefficiency % | -16.2% |
| Nate Diaz - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +117 |
| Risk: | $1500.00 |
| To Win: | $1755.00 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Conor McGregor defeats Nate Diaz via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).
Loss
Anthony Johnson (-190)
Breakdown
Anthony Johnson vs. Glover Teixeira
Rumble is younger, faster, more athletic, and packs a more diverse arsenal with his striking compared to Teixeira. As long as Rumble don't get care less he will KO Teixeira.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Anthony Johnson | vs. | Glover Teixeira |
| -190 | Odds | +177 |
| 65.5% | Market % | 36.1% |
| 64.00% | Bet on Combat % | 36.00% |
| -1.5% | Inefficiency % | -0.1% |
| Anthony Johnson - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -190 |
| Risk: | $22900.00 |
| To Win: | $12052.63 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Anthony Johnson defeats Glover Teixeira via KO (punch) at 0:13 of round 1.