UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: July 30, 2016
Venue: Philips Arena
City: Atlanta, Georgia, United States
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Jorge Masvidal (-217) Wilson Reis (-303) - (-106)

Ross Pearson vs. Jorge Masvidal (UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley)
Wilson Reis vs. Hector Sandoval (UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley)

Breakdown

Masvidal vs. Pearson

Masvidal should work behind his jab en route to unanimous decision. He may also catch Pearson with his crafty combination.

Prediction

Jorge Masvidal (-217) Wilson Reis (-303) - Parlay Bet
Odds:-106
Risk:$2120.00
To Win:$2000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Jorge Masvidal defeats Ross Pearson via Decision (unanimous) (29-28, 29-28, 30-27).

Wilson Reis defeats Hector Sandoval via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 1:49 of round 1.

Win

Straight Bet

Lawler vs. Woodley Inside the Distance (-190)

Robbie Lawler vs. Tyron Woodley

Breakdown

Robbie Lawler vs. Tyron Woodley

We have already bet Robbie Lawler straight at -140 for 1% stake. As I explained in my breakdown (see previous prediction), Tyron Woodley have a really good shot at knocking out Lawler. So we are edging this bet with a proposition 'Inside the Distance' as I expect this fight going under 2.5 round.

Prediction

Robbie Lawler vs. Tyron Woodley
None Odds None
Lawler vs. Woodley Inside the Distance - Straight Bet
Odds:-190
Risk:$3800.00
To Win:$2000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Tyron Woodley defeats Robbie Lawler via KO (punches) at 2:12 of round 1.

Win

Straight Bet

Robbie Lawler  (-140)

Robbie Lawler vs. Tyron Woodley

Breakdown

Robbie Lawler vs. Tyron Woodley

This fight will come down to Lawler being able to stop the takedown, which he should. But Woodley has big power but I expect him to gas in the championship rounds, if not well before. Make no mistake, Tyron Woodley is a live dog but I just can’t trust Woodley to pull this off, 

Prediction

Robbie Lawler vs. Tyron Woodley
-140 Odds +120
58.3% Market % 45.5%
60.00% Bet on Combat % 40.00%
+1.7% Inefficiency % -5.5%
Robbie Lawler  - Straight Bet
Odds:-140
Risk:$1400.00
To Win:$1000.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Tyron Woodley defeats Robbie Lawler via KO (punches) at 2:12 of round 1.

Loss

Straight Bet

Jorge Masvidal (-220)

Ross Pearson vs. Jorge Masvidal

Prediction

Ross Pearson vs. Jorge Masvidal
-220 Odds +200
68.8% Market % 33.3%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+6.2% Inefficiency % -8.3%
Jorge Masvidal - Straight Bet
Odds:-220
Risk:$11000.00
To Win:$5000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Jorge Masvidal defeats Ross Pearson via Decision (unanimous) (29-28, 29-28, 30-27).

Win

Straight Bet

Wilson Reis (-300)

Wilson Reis vs. Hector Sandoval

Prediction

Wilson Reis vs. Hector Sandoval
-300 Odds +220
75.0% Market % 31.3%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
0.0% Inefficiency % -6.3%
Wilson Reis - Straight Bet
Odds:-300
Risk:$3000.00
To Win:$1000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Wilson Reis defeats Hector Sandoval via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 1:49 of round 1.

Win

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