UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: July 11, 2015
Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena
City: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Broadcast: Pay-Per-View
Straight Bet

Rory Macdonald (-165)

Robbie Lawler vs. Rory MacDonald

Breakdown

Robbie Lawler vs Rory MacDonald

Rory is the better all around fighter and has all the tools to win this fight. On the feet the fight is really close in skill but when it comes to the ground game and wrestling Rory has the edge and I truly feel now is the time Rory lives up to his hype and wins the title. All the tools Rory has I think he will be able to capitalize with and win via decision.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Robbie Lawler vs. Rory MacDonald
+155 Odds -175
39.2% Market % 63.6%
30.00% Bet on Combat % 70.00%
-9.2% Inefficiency % +6.4%
Rory Macdonald - Straight Bet
Odds:-165
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$3030.30
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Robbie Lawler defeats Rory MacDonald via TKO (punches) at 1:00 of round 5.

Loss

Straight Bet

Conor McGregor (-165)

Conor McGregor vs. Chad Mendes

Breakdown

Conor McGregor vs Chad Mendes

Mendes is taking this fight on short notice and I can't see him being conditioned or mentally ready for McGregor. I believe McGregor will be able to with stand the wrestling of Mendes early and when he is able to do that he will be the fresher fighter to take advantage. Standing Mendes will have a hard time dealing with the reach and length of McGregor and if Mendes gasses or can't wrestle it will be over for him. McGregor by TKO.

Stake: 10%

Prediction

Conor McGregor vs. Chad Mendes
-165 Odds +155
62.3% Market % 39.2%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+12.7% Inefficiency % -14.2%
Conor McGregor - Straight Bet
Odds:-165
Risk:$25000.00
To Win:$15151.52
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Conor McGregor defeats Chad Mendes via TKO (punches) at 4:57 of round 2.

Win

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