UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | July 11, 2015 |
| Venue: | MGM Grand Garden Arena |
| City: | Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Broadcast: | Pay-Per-View |
Rory Macdonald (-165)
Breakdown
Robbie Lawler vs Rory MacDonald
Rory is the better all around fighter and has all the tools to win this fight. On the feet the fight is really close in skill but when it comes to the ground game and wrestling Rory has the edge and I truly feel now is the time Rory lives up to his hype and wins the title. All the tools Rory has I think he will be able to capitalize with and win via decision.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Robbie Lawler | vs. | Rory MacDonald |
| +155 | Odds | -175 |
| 39.2% | Market % | 63.6% |
| 30.00% | Bet on Combat % | 70.00% |
| -9.2% | Inefficiency % | +6.4% |
| Rory Macdonald - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -165 |
| Risk: | $5000.00 |
| To Win: | $3030.30 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Robbie Lawler defeats Rory MacDonald via TKO (punches) at 1:00 of round 5.
Loss
Conor McGregor (-165)
Breakdown
Conor McGregor vs Chad Mendes
Mendes is taking this fight on short notice and I can't see him being conditioned or mentally ready for McGregor. I believe McGregor will be able to with stand the wrestling of Mendes early and when he is able to do that he will be the fresher fighter to take advantage. Standing Mendes will have a hard time dealing with the reach and length of McGregor and if Mendes gasses or can't wrestle it will be over for him. McGregor by TKO.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Conor McGregor | vs. | Chad Mendes |
| -165 | Odds | +155 |
| 62.3% | Market % | 39.2% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +12.7% | Inefficiency % | -14.2% |
| Conor McGregor - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -165 |
| Risk: | $25000.00 |
| To Win: | $15151.52 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Conor McGregor defeats Chad Mendes via TKO (punches) at 4:57 of round 2.