UFC 186: Johnson vs. Horiguchi
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | April 25, 2015 |
| Venue: | Bell Centre |
| City: | Montreal, Quebec, Canada |
| Broadcast: |
Demetrious Johnson (-791) Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-375) - (-223)
Breakdown
Demetrious Johnson vs Kyoji Horiguchi
The japanese fighters hardly ever do well in the UFC and are perfect fade guys. I just don't see this fight being competitive and Horiguchi is not ready for Mighty Mouse. Johnson is just the better fighter everywhere. The question isn't does Mighty Mouse win this fight it is how, and I will go with a dominant decision victory.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud
Mercier is a big step up for Michaud especially on a athletic level. Mercier is young, athletic, and skilled and I don't think Michaud can beat him. Mercier also has really good Judo which is very hard to deal so I see him winning a lop sided decision.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Demetrious Johnson (-791) Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-375) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | -223 |
| Risk: | $10000.00 |
| To Win: | $4484.30 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Demetrious Johnson defeats Kyoji Horiguchi via Submission (armbar) at 4:59 of round 5.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier defeats David Michaud via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 3:24 of round 3.
Win
Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-330)
Prediction
| Olivier Aubin-Mercier | vs. | David Michaud |
| -330 | Odds | +300 |
| 76.7% | Market % | 25.0% |
| 77.00% | Bet on Combat % | 23.00% |
| +0.3% | Inefficiency % | -2.0% |
| Olivier Aubin-Mercier - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -330 |
| Risk: | $3300.00 |
| To Win: | $1000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Olivier Aubin-Mercier defeat David Michaud via Submission (rear-naked choke) - Round 3, 3:24.
Win
Michael Bisping (-145)
Breakdown
Michael Bisping vs. C.B. Dollaway
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Michael Bisping | vs. | C.B. Dollaway |
| -145 | Odds | +125 |
| 59.2% | Market % | 44.4% |
| 65.00% | Bet on Combat % | 35.00% |
| +5.8% | Inefficiency % | -9.4% |
| Michael Bisping - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -145 |
| Risk: | $2900.00 |
| To Win: | $2000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Michael Bisping defeats C.B. Dollaway via Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28).