UFC 169: Barao vs. Faber II
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Feb. 1, 2014 |
| Venue: | Prudential Center |
| City: | Newark, New Jersey |
| Broadcast: | Pay-Per-View |
Alistair Overeem (-315)
Breakdown
Alistair Overeem vs Frank Mir
Overeem is just too good of a striker and I see him steam rolling Mir in this fight on the feet. Mir has the ground advantage but Overeem is just too big and won't be easy to get down and if Mir gets close to try and even land a take down I see Overeem lighting him up with strikes. Overeem wins by TKO.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Alistair Overeem | vs. | Frank Mir |
| -315 | Odds | +250 |
| 75.9% | Market % | 28.6% |
| 73.00% | Bet on Combat % | 27.00% |
| -2.9% | Inefficiency % | -1.6% |
| Alistair Overeem - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -315 |
| Risk: | $5200.00 |
| To Win: | $1650.79 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Alistair Overeem defeats Frank Mir via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27).
Win
Renan Barao (-300)
Breakdown
Renan Barao vs Urijah Faber
Barao is one of the best fighters in the world right now and he is dangerous everywhere and I see him wearing down Faber again. I don't think Faber has improved much since the last time they fought and Barao beat him handily the first time so I think he beats Faber again and he will do so by unanimous decision.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Renan Barao | vs. | Urijah Faber |
| -300 | Odds | +220 |
| 75.0% | Market % | 31.3% |
| 78.00% | Bet on Combat % | 22.00% |
| +3.0% | Inefficiency % | -9.3% |
| Renan Barao - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -300 |
| Risk: | $15000.00 |
| To Win: | $5000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Renan Barao defeats Urijah Faber via TKO (punches) at 3:42 of round 1.