UFC 149: Faber vs. Barao
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | July 21, 2012 |
| Venue: | Scotiabank Saddledome |
| City: | Calgary, Alberta |
| Broadcast: | Pay-Per-View |
Renan Barao (-160)
Breakdown
Urijah Faber vs. Renan Barao
I just can't see Faber choking out a Pederneiras black belt who easily shook off the take downs of Jorgensen who has better wrestling than Faber. When Faber can't frenzy on his opponents and has to stand and trade his striking is good but not on the level of Barao's. I see Barao winning the stand up battle and not even being take down by Faber too much. Barao by decision.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Urijah Faber | vs. | Renan Barao |
| +130 | Odds | -160 |
| 43.5% | Market % | 61.5% |
| 40.00% | Bet on Combat % | 60.00% |
| -3.5% | Inefficiency % | -1.5% |
| Renan Barao - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -160 |
| Risk: | $10200.00 |
| To Win: | $6375.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Renan Barao defeats Urijah Faber via Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 50–45, 49–46).
Win
Cheick Kongo (-130)
Breakdown
Cheick Kongo vs. Shawn Jordan
A young brawling heavyweight is nothing Kongo hasn't dealt with before. Kongo has good take down defense so I don't even see the fight going there. Jordan will try to brawl with Kongo but he has a height and reach disadvantage vs Kongo and Kongo has faced much better competition than Jordan so I actually don't see how Jordan wins unless he lands a miracle shot because Kongo is better everywhere than him. Kongo by KO.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Cheick Kongo | vs. | Shawn Jordan |
| -130 | Odds | +100 |
| 56.5% | Market % | 50.0% |
| 60.00% | Bet on Combat % | 40.00% |
| +3.5% | Inefficiency % | -10.0% |
| Cheick Kongo - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -130 |
| Risk: | $2600.00 |
| To Win: | $2000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Cheick Kongo defeats Shawn Jordan via Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 50–45, 49–46).