The Ultimate Fighter 5 Finale
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | June 23, 2007 |
| Venue: | Palms Casino Resort |
| City: | Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Broadcast: | Spike TV |
Straight Bet
B.J. Penn (-300)
BJ Penn vs. Jens Pulver
Breakdown
BJ Penn vs. Jens Pulver
Penn is out for blood and desperately wants to avenge his loss to Pulver that happened 5 years prior. Penn is much improved on the feet with boxing and his wrestling is good enough where he should get Pulver to the ground and ultimately win by submission.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| BJ Penn | vs. | Jens Pulver |
| -300 | Odds | -260 |
| 75.0% | Market % | 72.2% |
| 77.00% | Bet on Combat % | 23.00% |
| +2.0% | Inefficiency % | -49.2% |
| B.J. Penn - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -300 |
| Risk: | $6000.00 |
| To Win: | $2000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
B.J. Penn defeats Jens Pulver via submission (rear naked choke) at 3:12 of round 2.